Daily Papers

Long-horizon robotic manipulation requires dense feedback that reflects how a task advances through its procedural stages, not merely whether the final outcome is successful. Existing reward models often rely on trajectory-level success labels or time-based interpolation, which can conflate elapsed time with true task progress and therefore fail to capture unfinished steps, stagnation, and failure states. We present ProcVLM, a progress-aware vision-language model that learns procedure-grounded progress as a dense reward signal for manipulation. Rather than deriving progress from terminal outcomes or temporal proxies, ProcVLM grounds progress estimation in procedural structure and intra-stage visual change, and further adopts a reasoning-before-estimation paradigm that infers the remaining atomic actions before estimating task progress. Specifically, we construct this supervision by synthesizing frame-level subtask-semantic annotations, assigning progress budgets according to subtask structure, and distributing each budget based on intra-subtask visual change. To train ProcVLM at scale, we build a standardized procedural supervision synthesis pipeline and construct ProcCorpus-60M from 30 embodied datasets with 60M annotated frames, from which we derive ProcVQA for procedure-aware pretraining, with progress estimation as the central task alongside action segmentation and future planning. Experiments on ProcVQA and reward-model benchmarks show that ProcVLM improves embodied procedural reasoning and yields more discriminative trajectory-internal progress estimates than representative baselines, supporting its use as a dense reward model for downstream reward-guided policy optimization. Project page: https://procvlm.github.io/

Learning task progress from robot demonstrations provides a practical way to construct dense shaping rewards for robotic reinforcement learning. A common approach uses normalized demonstration time as progress labels, implicitly assuming monotonically increasing task progress. During policy exploration, however, actual task progress can stall or even regress. Such models may mistake regressions for progress, assigning positive shaping rewards to actions that cause progress loss. Real suboptimal and failed executions offer corrective experience, but assigning absolute progress values to their states is difficult. Our key observation is that stalls, regressions, and recoveries establish local relative progress relations even when absolute progress is unknown. We introduce Event2Reward, which uses normalized temporal labels to anchor the progress scale and these within-trajectory relations to constrain local changes, combining absolute and relative progress supervision. Its progress predictions serve as potentials for reward shaping. We curate an event-annotated dataset from approximately 100K raw real-robot execution records, covering successful, suboptimal, and failed executions, without requiring framewise absolute progress labels. Under the same training budgets, Event2Reward improves average policy success by 18.16 percentage points over a baseline using only sparse task rewards across 40 tasks in four LIBERO suites. On real robots, average success after 30 minutes of wall-clock training reaches 60.0% on three precise insertion tasks and 90.0% on three object manipulation tasks, exceeding the sparse-reward baseline under the same budget by 36.7 and 23.3 percentage points, respectively. Ablation studies further show that absolute progress supervision and relative progress relations are complementary, with joint supervision yielding better downstream policy learning.

Embodied agents now take on ever longer tasks. For long tasks, knowing only whether a task finally succeeds or fails says little; the steps along the way matter. Progress Reward Models (PRMs) score how far a task has come at every step, and serve as dense rewards, verifiers and monitors. Yet in long tasks the current frame alone often cannot tell how far the task has come, because progress depends on what happened before. We call this problem context-dependent progress estimation. Existing benchmarks on progress estimation mostly focus on short tasks whose progress can be read from the current observation, and whether PRMs can estimate progress when context is needed remains underexplored. We therefore build ContextProgress-Bench, with 24 manipulation tasks for 120 episodes. The benchmark covers three settings: (i) State Recall, where information needed for progress appeared earlier but is not in the current frame; (ii) Sequence Tracking, where steps follow a fixed order, so progress requires knowing which steps are done and which comes next; and (iii) Recurrence Disambiguation, where look-alike frames sit at very different progress. We then run a paired diagnosis: each PRM keeps the same input format in both runs, and in one run its instruction integrates the right context. Even PRMs that read the entire history get lost in estimating progress, yet with the right context the same five models cut their progress error by 77-82%. Embodied PRMs are thus not incapable of progress estimation, but lost without the right context. We therefore propose ProgressCompass, an autonomous agentic loop that reorients an existing PRM and uses current general-purpose VLMs to supply the context the PRM needs. Wrapped in the loop, the same frozen PRM cuts its progress error by 63% and raises its rank agreement by 76%. With such a compass, PRMs estimate progress far better on longer, more complex tasks.

Long-horizon agentic tasks require an agent to modify an environment through a sequence of tool calls, with success determined by the final state. The standard recipe assigns a single outcome reward at the end and compares trajectories sampled for the same task. As a result, a group with no successful trajectory yields no training signal, failed attempts cannot be told apart by how close they came to completion, and turns that advance the task receive the same credit as turns that only query the environment. Prior work refines the unit of comparison from the trajectory to the step, or trains a reward model to supply intermediate signal: the former still derives its signal from final success alone, and the latter estimates it with a model. We observe that the acceptance checks that decide success can also be run on intermediate states, so progress is as verifiable as the outcome. We propose ProCredit, which turns this verified progress into credit: it reruns the acceptance checks after each turn, rewards the turn by its change in progress, and uses these rewards to assign credit both across attempts at the same task and across the turns within a trajectory. Starting from Qwen3.5 base models at three scales on AppWorld, ProCredit outperforms outcome-reward baselines and progress-based baselines in task completion rate at every scale on both test sets, exceeding the strongest outcome-reward baseline by 4.1 percentage points at 4B, and results in a second environment show the same direction of improvement. Ablations show that adding the final progress to the trajectory score alone does not improve performance: the gain comes from crediting progress to the turn where it occurs.

Robotic learning takes place in dynamic environments with large behavior spaces. A terminal success signal only tells the robot whether the task is completed. It does not explain whether the current behavior is making progress, remaining unchanged, or undoing earlier progress. For this reason, recent studies have increasingly explored progress rewards that provide feedback during task execution. However, the current literature lacks a shared framework. Existing methods use different observations, goal specifications, output signals, supervision sources, and evaluation protocols. This makes it difficult to compare them and understand what their results actually validate. In this survey, we provide a unified view of progress reward modeling for robotic learning. We organize the field in three connected steps. We first study the interface of a progress model. This defines the problem from the outside by asking what information the model receives and what form of progress signal it produces. We then move inside the model and study the methods used to construct this signal. This reveals the different assumptions and mechanisms behind progress estimation and reward generation. Finally, we examine the data and benchmarks that support these methods. This shows how progress supervision is obtained and what different evaluations actually measure. Together, these three perspectives connect what a progress model is, how it is built, and how its quality is validated. We further summarize the main limitations of current approaches and discuss future research directions.

Quantitative and dense task progress feedback is essential for robotic manipulation across data curation, policy evaluation, and reinforcement learning. Existing progress annotations often rely on sparse keyframe markings derived from subjective manual judgments, limiting their scalability and cross-task consistency, particularly in long-horizon manipulation. To overcome these challenges, we propose action-aware quantification, a unified progress specification that decomposes long-horizon trajectories into object-level subtasks via a vision-language model (VLM) and assigns weighted action credits to capture fine-grained execution dynamics. Using VLM auto-labeling and human calibration, we construct an 800+ hour training video dataset and LOOM, a long-horizon progress benchmark containing 19,618 human-calibrated evaluation frames. To model these dense progress dynamics, we introduce NimCritic, a predictive progress critic trained via Joint Video-Progress Learning. We further incorporate Historical Progress Perturbation to mitigate sequential drift, and design a contrastive Video-Progress Alignment objective that bridges asymmetric expert streams by mutually grounding intermediate visual dynamics and denoised progress trajectories. NimCritic matches or outperforms state-of-the-art process reward models (PRMs) on the established Video Progress Benchmark (VPB) and LOOM, surpassing GVL (GPT-6-Sol) on VPB by about 65% in terminal success accuracy (TSA). On the large-scale RoboArena policy evaluation benchmark, it also retrieves human-selected successful rollouts with about 97% overall recall. These results establish action-aware quantification as a scalable foundation for dense progress feedback in robotic manipulation.

Most existing vision-language-action (VLA) models for robotic manipulation lack progress awareness, typically relying on hand-crafted heuristics for task termination. This limitation is particularly severe in long-horizon tasks involving cascaded sub-goals. In this work, we investigate the estimation and integration of task progress, proposing a novel model named {\textbf \vla}. Our technical contributions are twofold: (1) robust progress estimation: We pre-train a progress estimator on large-scale, unsupervised video-text robotic datasets. This estimator achieves a low prediction residual (0.07 on a scale of [0, 1]) in simulation and demonstrates zero-shot generalization to unseen real-world samples, and (2) differentiable progress guidance: We introduce an inverse dynamics world model that maps predicted action tokens into future latent visual states. These latents are then processed by the progress estimator; by applying a maximal progress regularization, we establish a differentiable pipeline that provides progress-piloted guidance to refine action tokens. Extensive experiments on the CALVIN and LIBERO benchmarks, alongside real-world robot deployment, consistently demonstrate substantial improvements in success rates and generalization over strong baselines.

In trajectory forecasting tasks for traffic, future output trajectories can be computed by advancing the ego vehicle's state with predicted actions according to a kinematics model. By unrolling predicted trajectories via time integration and models of kinematic dynamics, predicted trajectories should not only be kinematically feasible but also relate uncertainty from one timestep to the next. While current works in probabilistic prediction do incorporate kinematic priors for mean trajectory prediction, variance is often left as a learnable parameter, despite uncertainty in one time step being inextricably tied to uncertainty in the previous time step. In this paper, we show simple and differentiable analytical approximations describing the relationship between variance at one timestep and that at the next with the kinematic bicycle model. These approximations can be easily incorporated with negligible additional overhead into any existing trajectory forecasting framework utilizing probabilistic predictions, whether it is autoregressive or one-shot prediction. In our results, we find that encoding the relationship between variance across timesteps works especially well in unoptimal settings, such as with small or noisy datasets. We observe up to a 50% performance boost in partial dataset settings and up to an 8% performance boost in large-scale learning compared to previous kinematic prediction methods on SOTA trajectory forecasting architectures out-of-the-box, with no fine-tuning. In this paper, we show four analytical formulations of probabilistic kinematic priors which can be used for any Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM)-based deep learning models, quantify the error bound on linear approximations applied during trajectory unrolling, and show results to evaluate each formulation in trajectory forecasting.

The field of trajectory forecasting has grown significantly in recent years, partially owing to the release of numerous large-scale, real-world human trajectory datasets for autonomous vehicles (AVs) and pedestrian motion tracking. While such datasets have been a boon for the community, they each use custom and unique data formats and APIs, making it cumbersome for researchers to train and evaluate methods across multiple datasets. To remedy this, we present trajdata: a unified interface to multiple human trajectory datasets. At its core, trajdata provides a simple, uniform, and efficient representation and API for trajectory and map data. As a demonstration of its capabilities, in this work we conduct a comprehensive empirical evaluation of existing trajectory datasets, providing users with a rich understanding of the data underpinning much of current pedestrian and AV motion forecasting research, and proposing suggestions for future datasets from these insights. trajdata is permissively licensed (Apache 2.0) and can be accessed online at https://github.com/NVlabs/trajdata

Estimating task progress requires reasoning over long-horizon dynamics rather than recognizing static visual content. While modern Vision-Language Models (VLMs) excel at describing what is visible, it remains unclear whether they can infer how far a task has progressed from partial observations. To this end, we introduce Progress-Bench, a benchmark for systematically evaluating progress reasoning in VLMs. Beyond benchmarking, we further explore a human-inspired two-stage progress reasoning paradigm through both training-free prompting and training-based approach based on curated dataset ProgressLM-45K. Experiments on 14 VLMs show that most models are not yet ready for task progress estimation, exhibiting sensitivity to demonstration modality and viewpoint changes, as well as poor handling of unanswerable cases. While training-free prompting that enforces structured progress reasoning yields limited and model-dependent gains, the training-based ProgressLM-3B achieves consistent improvements even at a small model scale, despite being trained on a task set fully disjoint from the evaluation tasks. Further analyses reveal characteristic error patterns and clarify when and why progress reasoning succeeds or fails.

We present a scalable pipeline for automatically generating high-quality training data for web agents. In particular, a major challenge in identifying high-quality training instances is trajectory evaluation - quantifying how much progress was made towards task completion. We introduce a novel constraint-based evaluation framework that provides fine-grained assessment of progress towards task completion. This enables us to leverage partially successful trajectories, which significantly expands the amount of usable training data. We evaluate our method on a new benchmark we propose called BookingArena, which consists of complex booking tasks across 20 popular websites, and demonstrate that our distilled student model outperforms open-source approaches and matches or exceeds commercial systems, while being a significantly smaller model. Our work addresses the challenge of efficiently creating diverse, realistic web interaction datasets and provides a systematic evaluation methodology for complex structured web tasks.

Scientific and engineering progress is fundamentally a long-horizon iterative process: proposing changes, running experiments, measuring outcomes, and continuously refining artifacts. Yet existing benchmarks for frontier models primarily evaluate either single-turn responses or short-horizon agent trajectories, failing to capture the challenges of sustained iterative improvement over extended time horizons. To address this gap, we introduce AutoLab, a new benchmark for ultra long-horizon closed-loop optimization. AutoLab consists of 36 realistic, expert-curated tasks spanning four diverse domains: system optimization, puzzle & challenge, model development, and CUDA kernel optimization. Each task begins with a correct but deliberately suboptimal baseline and challenges agents to improve it within a strict wall-clock budget. Evaluating 17 state-of-the-art models reveals the dominant predictor of success is not the quality of an agent's initial attempt, but its persistence in repeatedly benchmarking, editing, and incorporating empirical feedback. While claude-opus-4.6 exhibits strong long-horizon optimization capabilities, most frontier models, including several proprietary ones, either terminate prematurely or exhaust their budgets with minimal progress. These results underscore the importance of time awareness and persistent iteration in autonomous agents. We open-source the full benchmark, evaluation harness, and task artifacts, to accelerate research toward truly capable long-horizon agents.

Large language model (LLM)-based agents increasingly rely on tool use to complete real-world tasks. While existing works evaluate the LLMs' tool use capability, they largely focus on the final answers yet overlook the detailed tool usage trajectory, i.e., whether tools are selected, parameterized, and ordered correctly. We introduce TRAJECT-Bench, a trajectory-aware benchmark to comprehensively evaluate LLMs' tool use capability through diverse tasks with fine-grained evaluation metrics. TRAJECT-Bench pairs high-fidelity, executable tools across practical domains with tasks grounded in production-style APIs, and synthesizes trajectories that vary in breadth (parallel calls) and depth (interdependent chains). Besides final accuracy, TRAJECT-Bench also reports trajectory-level diagnostics, including tool selection and argument correctness, and dependency/order satisfaction. Analyses reveal failure modes such as similar tool confusion and parameter-blind selection, and scaling behavior with tool diversity and trajectory length where the bottleneck of transiting from short to mid-length trajectories is revealed, offering actionable guidance for LLMs' tool use.

Vision-Language Models (VLMs) hold promise for zero-shot video task-progress estimation in robot learning, yet existing frameworks frequently suffer from confirmation bias, hallucinating progress in failed executions due to implicit success assumptions or relative temporal ranking designs. Naive prompting of frontier models collapses into a binary success detector that fails to capture nuanced, non-linear progress and failures. While post-training approaches can mitigate this through explicit training, they demand expensive real-world robotics data and require computationally intensive post-training for every individual base model. To resolve these limitations, we introduce D&A (Describe & Assess): our approach decouples progress estimation into an objective, task-grounded textual description of scene dynamics followed by an assessment phase using explicit rubrics. By compelling the VLM to synthesize an explicit, text-based definition of absolute success before scoring, the framework anchors evaluations to an external, global criterion rather than the video's internal timeline. Empirical results demonstrate that our method calibrates zero-shot estimates and mitigates confirmation bias, providing fine-grained, partial progress metrics that accurately penalize failed executions while correctly interpolating successful runs. Being purely prompt-based, D&A generalizes across tasks, embodiments, and benchmarks---matching or surpassing post-trained reward models---and its reward estimates enable efficient downstream reinforcement learning.

When a long-horizon agent execution fails, outcome-level evaluation reveals the unsuccessful result but not where the decisive error entered the trajectory. Developers must then inspect the full execution to identify the responsible role and localize the earliest decisive root-cause step. Existing failure-attribution benchmarks largely focus on shorter traces, leaving diagnosis across hundreds of recorded steps underexplored. We introduce LongRCA Bench, comprising 1,140 failed trajectories across five domains without injected errors. It provides independently scored human labels for the responsible role and earliest decisive root-cause step. The median trajectory contains 145 steps, and the strongest baseline reaches only 13.2% exact root-step accuracy. We further present Root-Cause Trajectory Attribution (RCTA), a training-free method that retrieves candidate error steps from segment summaries and traces them to available earlier handoff instructions. Using the same backbone, benchmark instances, and scoring protocol, RCTA reaches 51.1% responsible-role accuracy and 24.1% exact root-step accuracy. These results highlight the need to evaluate responsible-role attribution and exact root-step localization as separate targets in long-trajectory failure diagnosis.

Accurately estimating task progress is critical for embodied agents to plan and execute long-horizon, multi-step tasks. Despite promising advances, existing Vision-Language Models (VLMs) based methods primarily leverage their video understanding capabilities, while neglecting their complex reasoning potential. Furthermore, processing long video trajectories with VLMs is computationally prohibitive for real-world deployment. To address these challenges, we propose the Recurrent Reasoning Vision-Language Model (R^2VLM). Our model features a recurrent reasoning framework that processes local video snippets iteratively, maintaining a global context through an evolving Chain of Thought (CoT). This CoT explicitly records task decomposition, key steps, and their completion status, enabling the model to reason about complex temporal dependencies. This design avoids the high cost of processing long videos while preserving essential reasoning capabilities. We train R^2VLM on large-scale, automatically generated datasets from ALFRED and Ego4D. Extensive experiments on progress estimation and downstream applications, including progress-enhanced policy learning, reward modeling for reinforcement learning, and proactive assistance, demonstrate that R^2VLM achieves strong performance and generalization, achieving a new state-of-the-art in long-horizon task progress estimation. The models and benchmarks are publicly available at https://huggingface.co/collections/zhangyuelin/r2vlm{huggingface}.

Multi-modal trajectory forecasting methods commonly evaluate using single-agent metrics (marginal metrics), such as minimum Average Displacement Error (ADE) and Final Displacement Error (FDE), which fail to capture joint performance of multiple interacting agents. Only focusing on marginal metrics can lead to unnatural predictions, such as colliding trajectories or diverging trajectories for people who are clearly walking together as a group. Consequently, methods optimized for marginal metrics lead to overly-optimistic estimations of performance, which is detrimental to progress in trajectory forecasting research. In response to the limitations of marginal metrics, we present the first comprehensive evaluation of state-of-the-art (SOTA) trajectory forecasting methods with respect to multi-agent metrics (joint metrics): JADE, JFDE, and collision rate. We demonstrate the importance of joint metrics as opposed to marginal metrics with quantitative evidence and qualitative examples drawn from the ETH / UCY and Stanford Drone datasets. We introduce a new loss function incorporating joint metrics that, when applied to a SOTA trajectory forecasting method, achieves a 7% improvement in JADE / JFDE on the ETH / UCY datasets with respect to the previous SOTA. Our results also indicate that optimizing for joint metrics naturally leads to an improvement in interaction modeling, as evidenced by a 16% decrease in mean collision rate on the ETH / UCY datasets with respect to the previous SOTA.

Long-horizon agents have drawn growing attention for their ability to work autonomously -- from hours to days -- on economically valuable tasks, a capability essential to automated discovery and recursive self-improvement (RSI). Yet open-source models still struggle on long-horizon tasks, largely for lack of both training data and a working recipe, and scaling both is hard: long, complex tasks are difficult to curate and verify, and their rewards are sparse. We address both. First, we introduce Tev-Gym, the first long-horizon agent training dataset with verifiable, dense, progressive rewards -- 1,170 verified task environments across 7 domains. It is built on a latent-world-first approach that first constructs a latent world: a complete and correct hidden specification of the task domain, workflow, and expected state after each step. Each task is then progressively rendered from this specification into an agent-facing environment, enabling controllable complexity and a natural progress metric. Second, we turn this metric into a training recipe: via progress-potential reward shaping (PPRS), we convert progress into a dense per-step reward that improves training efficiency and makes otherwise-intractable tasks trainable. Training with this recipe yields Tev-27B, which achieves substantial gains on the Agents' Last Exam computing and math sciences domains (ALE-CM), matching GPT-6 Astra and Claude Opus 5 at Pass@5. Despite training only on ALE-related data, it generalizes to the Terminal-Bench (TB) 3.0 and 4.0 subsets, surpassing GLM 5.2 and Gemini 3.7 Flash, and reaches Claude Opus 4.8-level performance on middle-horizon tasks such as TB 2.1.

We introduce a vocabulary for automated research systems built from one or more agents to make their design choices easier to describe and compare. The vocabulary specifies 1) who the agents are, 2) what operations are available in the system, 3) who may invoke them, 4) how agents communicate, 5) what information is visible within and across runs, 6) how the next action is chosen, 7) how a run begins, and 8) how outputs are evaluated. A trajectory records one run from the input task to the returned artifact. Because agents, operations, and initialization may be stochastic, repeated runs on the same task induce a distribution over trajectories rather than a single behavior. Our vocabulary turns structural design questions, such as when agents should communicate, gain or lose a capability, or carry information across runs, into testable choices. It also makes the evaluator a component of the system, since reported gains depend on how closely the proxy score matches true quality. That separation also splits the vague complaint that these systems lack taste into two failures with different solutions. Generative taste is the rate at which a system proposes novel trajectories before any score is observed, and evaluative taste is the gap between the proxy score and the quality it should match. We instantiate the vocabulary on recent autoresearch systems to illustrate that it covers designs that differ widely in structure.

User profiling and region analysis are two tasks of significant commercial value. However, in practical applications, modeling different features typically involves four main steps: data preparation, data processing, model establishment, evaluation, and optimization. This process is time-consuming and labor-intensive. Repeating this workflow for each feature results in abundant development time for tasks and a reduced overall volume of task development. Indeed, human mobility data contains a wealth of information. Several successful cases suggest that conducting in-depth analysis of population movement data could potentially yield meaningful profiles about users and areas. Nonetheless, most related works have not thoroughly utilized the semantic information within human mobility data and trained on a fixed number of the regions. To tap into the rich information within population movement, based on the perspective that Regions Are Who walk them, we propose a large spatiotemporal model based on trajectories (RAW). It possesses the following characteristics: 1) Tailored for trajectory data, introducing a GPT-like structure with a parameter count of up to 1B; 2) Introducing a spatiotemporal fine-tuning module, interpreting trajectories as collection of users to derive arbitrary region embedding. This framework allows rapid task development based on the large spatiotemporal model. We conducted extensive experiments to validate the effectiveness of our proposed large spatiotemporal model. It's evident that our proposed method, relying solely on human mobility data without additional features, exhibits a certain level of relevance in user profiling and region analysis. Moreover, our model showcases promising predictive capabilities in trajectory generation tasks based on the current state, offering the potential for further innovative work utilizing this large spatiotemporal model.

Trajectory Inference (TI) seeks to recover latent dynamical processes from snapshot data, where only independent samples from time-indexed marginals are observed. In applications such as single-cell genomics, destructive measurements make path-space laws non-identifiable from finitely many marginals, leaving held-out marginal prediction as the dominant but limited evaluation protocol. We introduce a general framework for estimating the Kullback-Leibler divergence (KL) divergence between probability measures on function space, yielding a tractable, data-driven estimator that is scalable to realistic snapshot datasets. We validate the accuracy of our estimator on a benchmark suite, where the estimated functional KL closely matches the analytic KL. Applying this framework to synthetic and real scRNA-seq datasets, we show that current evaluation metrics often give inconsistent assessments, whereas path-space KL enables a coherent comparison of trajectory inference methods and exposes discrepancies in inferred dynamics, especially in regions with sparse or missing data. These results support functional KL as a principled criterion for evaluating trajectory inference under partial observability.

Recent VLM-based autonomous driving planners adopt GRPO-style reinforcement learning to optimize driving performance. However, existing GRPO recipes either optimize driving efficiency, risking progress-seeking but unsafe behavior, or enforce early safety constraints, leading to overly conservative behavior; both require lengthy training. To solve these problems, we first reveal two distinct RL regimes: a progress regime (Run-GRPO) that aggressively explores high progress, and a safety regime (Walk-GRPO) that restores safety under stable progress. Based on this finding, we propose Run-then-Walk, a simple yet effective two-stage reward scheduling strategy for GRPO, achieving both better performance and faster convergence. Unlike one-stage RL, which may focus on progress, safety, or a mixture of both within a single training phase, this schedule explicitly separates progress discovery from safety repair. In the Run phase, we focus on progress, allowing the policy to escape the conservative bias and discover high-progress modes. In the subsequent Walk phase, we introduce endpoint and safety strategy to repair unsafe behaviors from the Run phase. This reversed schedule overcomes the conservatism of Walk-first methods and the unsafe progress-seeking of joint optimization. We validate it with various VLM-based planners on multiple benchmarks: NAVSIMv1, NAVSIMv2, Navhard, and nuScenes. Extensive experiments demonstrate improved driving performance while requiring 40--50\% fewer RL training epochs than the baselines. Code is available at https://github.com/haha-yuki-haha/AutoDrive-P3_with_Run-then-walk.

A safe action is not necessarily a viable one. A frozen vision-language-action (VLA) policy can favor a locally admissible move that leaves no policy-supported route to safe task completion. We call this the feasibility-likelihood gap: likelihood ranks the next move, while feasibility depends on the futures it leaves open. To bring those futures into the decision, we derive the exact next-block marginal of the history-conditioned policy-environment trajectory law restricted to safe task completion. The derivation reveals a candidate-dependent feasible-future mass: its support records whether safe completion remains possible under the frozen continuation process, while its magnitude measures how much weighted safe-completion mass remains. Since exact evaluation is impractical online, we develop a selective finite-candidate approximation and establish conditions for recovering the best retained viable candidate. Our alarm-triggered, training-free reranker VICS-G lowers mean cumulative safety cost by 1.9%-57.5% across six Safety-CHORES settings while remaining within 2.5 percentage points of policy sampling in success and 0.82 steps in mean episode length. Our approach offers a promising and practical path toward safer task completion, grounded in an exact policy-relative target yet requiring neither policy retraining nor online rollouts.

Although recent tool-augmented benchmarks involve complex requests, evaluation remains limited to answer matching, neglecting critical trajectory aspects like efficiency, hallucination, and adaptivity. The most straightforward method for evaluation is to compare an agent's trajectory with the ground-truth, but annotating all valid ground-truth trajectories is prohibitively expensive. In this manner, we introduce TRACE, a reference-free framework for the multi-dimensional evaluation of tool-augmented LLMs. By incorporating an evidence bank which accumulates knowledge from preceding steps, TRACE assesses an agent's reasoning trajectory effectively. To validate our framework, we develop a new meta-evaluation dataset with diverse and flawed trajectories, each labeled with multi-faceted performance scores. Our results confirm that TRACE accurately evaluates complex trajectories even with small open-source LLMs. Furthermore, we apply our method to evaluate the trajectories that agents produce while solving tool-augmented tasks, presenting previously unreported observations and their corresponding insights.

Automated progress monitoring on construction sites is an active area of research and development. Robot and human-carried mapping systems have been developed to build 3D maps of building and infrastructure projects. While LiDAR-based mapping systems achieve high accuracy, the cost of LiDAR can be prohibitive. Consumer-grade cameras with wide field of view ("360 cameras") combined with embedded inertial measurement units (IMUs) provide a cost-effective alternative. To support change detection and progress monitoring, highly accurate visual Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) and floor plan-referenced localization systems are required. In this paper we present a high-quality dataset collected at an active construction site, which captures realistic challenges such as variable lighting conditions, moving workers, fast motions, and repetitive structures. The dataset offers thirty visual-inertial sequences recorded across seven floors over an eight-month period of the construction project. Ground truth trajectories were collected using a high quality LiDAR-inertial SLAM system rigidly attached to the 360 camera. Additionally, we report the results of an open research challenge evaluating the best visual SLAM and localization systems from around the world. The Challenge attracted substantially higher participation in SLAM, with 62 teams compared to 22 in floor-plan-referenced localization, reflecting the broader maturity of SLAM methods. The higher errors in localization further highlight the difficulty of this task in construction and point to the need for continued research, which this dataset is intended to support. The dataset and the benchmark are publicly available at: https://hilti-trimble-challenge.com/dataset-2026.

Humans perform long-horizon manipulation by retaining knowledge of what earlier actions have established while continuously adapting the motion underway. By contrast, action-chunked vision-language-action (VLA) policies repeatedly replan from the current input at each query. Existing methods preserve either long-term task evidence through memory or short-term motion through action reuse and ensembling, leaving the cross-query handoff incomplete. We introduce ChainVLA, a 1.2B-parameter VLA policy that chains successive queries through a joint and revisable execution state. Progress Context combines a recurrent Working State with sparse event memory to carry observation-derived task progress, while Motion Tail feeds the preceding prediction's unexecuted continuation into state construction and action generation. Together, the two components condition a decoder that regenerates each action horizon under the latest observation, allowing the carried state to guide the next prediction without fixing it. ChainVLA reaches 62.8% average success on RMBench and 98.8% across four LIBERO suites, while removing Motion Tail or Progress Context reduces RMBench success to 11.2% and 3.0%, respectively. These asymmetric ablations are consistent with motion continuity helping preserve the observation stream from which task progress is inferred.

Looped language models can run more iterations at test time, but additional iterations need not help them solve longer problems. For sequential state tracking, final-answer supervision does not specify how far each iteration should advance, and repeated updates can change the scale of the recurrent state. We introduce Progress-Aligned Recurrence (PAR), which trains the prediction at iteration k to match the state after the first k operations and rescales recurrent states to their first-iteration norms. On swap-S_5, a Qwen2.5-0.5B model trained on at most 32 moves achieves 95.5\% mean full-state accuracy at 512 moves, or 16times the training length, compared with 55.7\% reported for RLT and 0.8\% for explicit chain of thought on the same backbone. Controlled S_5 ablations show that removing norm anchoring reduces the extrapolation factor from 16times to below 2.2times, and replacing progress-aligned targets with final-answer supervision reduces it to at most 8times. A learned completion readout selects when to answer without a supplied stopping depth. When intermediate labels are unavailable, prefix self-distillation induces the correspondence from shorter problem prefixes using only final answers. The gains apply across sequential state-tracking tasks, establishing the task structure required for depth extrapolation. These findings support training intermediate predictions and state scale together to make additional recurrent depth useful for longer problems.

Recursive self-improvement requires turning evidence of model failures into better models. Data-centric post-training research entails diagnosing capability gaps, designing and validating training-data strategies, and learning from checkpoint feedback. Can LLM agents automate this loop? Existing benchmarks entangle research decisions with optimization, serving, evaluation, and systems implementation, obscuring agents' research capability. We introduce RSIBench-Data, a controlled benchmark of LLM agents as data-centric researchers with a fixed post-training stack. Agents iteratively revise training-data strategies for a fixed target model; training and serving use Tinker-backed services, official evaluation runs through Harbor and E2B sandboxes, and budgets are fixed across agents. We evaluate four frontier agents on six benchmarks across software engineering, terminal use, scientific question answering, and mathematics. Agents demonstrate core data-centric research capabilities: in 58.33\% of settings, they improve upon the first valid attempt by refining strategies from feedback. However, improvement is inconsistent. Among searches continuing after the best observed score, 78.26\% end with a lower-scoring final attempt, while the rest only recover the same peak. A strong candidate may therefore appear early or midway through a run even as later revisions fail. Trajectory analysis identifies four patterns in stronger runs: accurate hypotheses, validation-grounded supervision, behavior-aligned data, and preservation of strong checkpoints. These findings suggest that current agents can make useful data-centric discoveries but cannot yet translate feedback into consistent improvements. RSIBench-Data provides a measurable, auditable testbed for the research capabilities required for recursive self-improvement. We open-source our code at https://github.com/evolvent-ai/RSIBench-Data.

Reinforcement learning (RL) holds significant promise for training LLM agents to handle complex, goal-oriented tasks that require multi-step interactions with external environments. However, a critical challenge when applying RL to these agentic tasks arises from delayed rewards: feedback signals are typically available only after the entire task is completed. This makes it non-trivial to assign delayed rewards to earlier actions, providing insufficient guidance regarding environmental constraints and hindering agent training. In this work, we draw on the insight that the ultimate completion of a task emerges from the cumulative progress an agent makes across individual steps. We propose Stepwise Progress Attribution (SPA), a general reward redistribution framework that decomposes the final reward into stepwise contributions, each reflecting its incremental progress toward overall task completion. To achieve this, we train a progress estimator that accumulates stepwise contributions over a trajectory to match the task completion. During policy optimization, we combine the estimated per-step contribution with a grounding signal for actions executed in the environment as the fine-grained, intermediate reward for effective agent training. Extensive experiments on common agent benchmarks (including Webshop, ALFWorld, and VirtualHome) demonstrate that SPA consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art method in both success rate (+2.5\% on average) and grounding accuracy (+1.9\% on average). Further analyses demonstrate that our method remarkably provides more effective intermediate rewards for RL training. Our code is available at https://github.com/WangHanLinHenry/SPA-RL-Agent.

Understanding road geometry is a critical component of the autonomous vehicle (AV) stack. While high-definition (HD) maps can readily provide such information, they suffer from high labeling and maintenance costs. Accordingly, many recent works have proposed methods for estimating HD maps online from sensor data. The vast majority of recent approaches encode multi-camera observations into an intermediate representation, e.g., a bird's eye view (BEV) grid, and produce vector map elements via a decoder. While this architecture is performant, it decimates much of the information encoded in the intermediate representation, preventing downstream tasks (e.g., behavior prediction) from leveraging them. In this work, we propose exposing the rich internal features of online map estimation methods and show how they enable more tightly integrating online mapping with trajectory forecasting. In doing so, we find that directly accessing internal BEV features yields up to 73% faster inference speeds and up to 29% more accurate predictions on the real-world nuScenes dataset.

Best-of-N (BoN) Average Displacement Error (ADE)/ Final Displacement Error (FDE) is the most used metric for evaluating trajectory prediction models. Yet, the BoN does not quantify the whole generated samples, resulting in an incomplete view of the model's prediction quality and performance. We propose a new metric, Average Mahalanobis Distance (AMD) to tackle this issue. AMD is a metric that quantifies how close the whole generated samples are to the ground truth. We also introduce the Average Maximum Eigenvalue (AMV) metric that quantifies the overall spread of the predictions. Our metrics are validated empirically by showing that the ADE/FDE is not sensitive to distribution shifts, giving a biased sense of accuracy, unlike the AMD/AMV metrics. We introduce the usage of Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation (IMLE) as a replacement for traditional generative models to train our model, Social-Implicit. IMLE training mechanism aligns with AMD/AMV objective of predicting trajectories that are close to the ground truth with a tight spread. Social-Implicit is a memory efficient deep model with only 5.8K parameters that runs in real time of about 580Hz and achieves competitive results. Interactive demo of the problem can be seen at https://www.abduallahmohamed.com/social-implicit-amdamv-adefde-demo . Code is available at https://github.com/abduallahmohamed/Social-Implicit .

Mobility simulation supports logistics, safety, and communications planning in industrial environments such as ports, mines, and airports. Existing trajectory models, however, rely on absolute coordinates, road-network tokens, or semantic zones: representations that are site-specific and not well suited to unstructured industrial terrain. We introduce the Industrial Kinematic Trajectory Model (IKTM), a coordinate-free trajectory generator that represents industrial vehicle motion through kinematic sequences (speed and heading change) with no absolute spatial reference. IKTM uses an autoregressive causal transformer with probabilistic mixture heads and extends our prior coordinate-free Markovian model with deep sequence modelling and an explicit duration-conditioning signal. Trained on one site and evaluated zero-shot on three unseen sites, it matches the small-turn shape of the empirical turn-rate distributions of held-out telematics; across all four sites, the per-site mean Jensen-Shannon divergence over 100 sampling seeds spans approximately 0.035-0.050 bits under an oracle-length duration-target protocol and approximately 0.032-0.042 bits under a fully zero-shot prior-length protocol, with similar ranges whether out-of-distribution (OOD) duration targets are drawn from each held-out site's empirical length distribution or from the Site A prior. Both protocols stay above the metric's sampling-noise floor (<=0.0049 bits). Paired by site, the oracle-length values are 5.3-6.0x lower than those of a re-implementation of our prior Markovian model under the same 1 Hz protocol. Termination is duration-conditioned rather than spatial: rollouts stop on 100% of trials with a length-tracking error of +0.0 +/- 0.0 s against the sampled target (100 of 100 exactly on target; N=100, T=0.2, untouched in-distribution test split).

Vision-Language Navigation requires agents to act coherently over long horizons by understanding not only local visual context but also how far they have advanced within a multi-step instruction. However, recent Vision-Language-Action models focus on direct action prediction and earlier progress methods predict numeric achievements; both overlook the monotonic co-progression property of the observation and instruction sequences. Building on this insight, Progress-Think introduces semantic progress reasoning, predicting instruction-style progress from visual observations to enable more accurate navigation. To achieve this without expensive annotations, we propose a three-stage framework. In the initial stage, Self-Aligned Progress Pretraining bootstraps a reasoning module via a novel differentiable alignment between visual history and instruction prefixes. Then, Progress-Guided Policy Pretraining injects learned progress states into the navigation context, guiding the policy toward consistent actions. Finally, Progress-Policy Co-Finetuning jointly optimizes both modules with tailored progress-aware reinforcement objectives. Experiments on R2R-CE and RxR-CE show state-of-the-art success and efficiency, demonstrating that semantic progress yields a more consistent representation of navigation advancement.

Trajectory planning is commonly used as part of a local planner in autonomous driving. This paper considers the problem of planning a continuous-curvature-rate trajectory between fixed start and goal states that minimizes a tunable trade-off between passenger comfort and travel time. The problem is an instance of infinite dimensional optimization over two continuous functions: a path, and a velocity profile. We propose a simplification of this problem that facilitates the discretization of both functions. This paper also proposes a method to quickly generate minimal-length paths between start and goal states based on a single tuning parameter: the second derivative of curvature. Furthermore, we discretize the set of velocity profiles along a given path into a selection of acceleration way-points along the path. Gradient-descent is then employed to minimize cost over feasible choices of the second derivative of curvature, and acceleration way-points, resulting in a method that repeatedly solves the path and velocity profiles in an iterative fashion. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate the benefits of the proposed methods.

We address the problem of incrementally modeling and forecasting long-term goals of a first-person camera wearer: what the user will do, where they will go, and what goal they seek. In contrast to prior work in trajectory forecasting, our algorithm, DARKO, goes further to reason about semantic states (will I pick up an object?), and future goal states that are far in terms of both space and time. DARKO learns and forecasts from first-person visual observations of the user's daily behaviors via an Online Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) approach. Classical IRL discovers only the rewards in a batch setting, whereas DARKO discovers the states, transitions, rewards, and goals of a user from streaming data. Among other results, we show DARKO forecasts goals better than competing methods in both noisy and ideal settings, and our approach is theoretically and empirically no-regret.

Safety-critical applications such as autonomous vehicles and social robots require fast computation and accurate probability density estimation on trajectory prediction. To address both requirements, this paper presents a new normalizing flow-based trajectory prediction model named FlowChain. FlowChain is a stack of conditional continuously-indexed flows (CIFs) that are expressive and allow analytical probability density computation. This analytical computation is faster than the generative models that need additional approximations such as kernel density estimation. Moreover, FlowChain is more accurate than the Gaussian mixture-based models due to fewer assumptions on the estimated density. FlowChain also allows a rapid update of estimated probability densities. This update is achieved by adopting the newest observed position and reusing the flow transformations and its log-det-jacobians that represent the motion trend. This update is completed in less than one millisecond because this reuse greatly omits the computational cost. Experimental results showed our FlowChain achieved state-of-the-art trajectory prediction accuracy compared to previous methods. Furthermore, our FlowChain demonstrated superiority in the accuracy and speed of density estimation. Our code is available at https://github.com/meaten/FlowChain-ICCV2023

Modern training on a new task often starts from a previously trained model rather than from scratch, raising the question of how this initialization affects the subsequent training trajectory. Classical implicit-bias results characterize the direction selected by prolonged training, but this direction alone does not provide information regarding the intermediate behavior. We address this question through a geometric approximation of full-batch logistic gradient descent (GD) trajectories on strictly linearly separable data, with large initialization of scale R motivated by prior training. From any limiting normalized initial position, we use minimum-norm projection rules to construct a unique continuous ideal path consisting of finitely many linear segments. The path has two stages: negative-margin correction followed by minimum-margin growth. We prove that, after an explicit two-stage time reparameterization, the fixed-step GD trajectory divided by R converges uniformly to this path on every fixed parameter interval as Rtoinfty. Further, our quantitative error bounds account for initialization perturbations and the transition between stages. This approximation provides asymptotic formulas for peak evaluation loss and cumulative training loss. In particular, peak evaluation loss can grow linearly in R even when both endpoint losses tend to zero. The cumulative losses in the correction and margin-growth stages, normalized by R^2 and R, respectively, converge to explicit limits. Experiments on controlled geometries and fixed image features complement our theoretical results.

Automated Vehicles (AVs) promise significant advances in transportation. Critical to these improvements is understanding AVs' longitudinal behavior, relying heavily on real-world trajectory data. Existing open-source trajectory datasets of AV, however, often fall short in refinement, reliability, and completeness, hindering effective performance metrics analysis and model development. This study addresses these challenges by creating a Unified Longitudinal TRAjectory dataset for AVs (Ultra-AV) to analyze their microscopic longitudinal driving behaviors. This dataset compiles data from 13 distinct sources, encompassing various AV types, test sites, and experiment scenarios. We established a three-step data processing: 1. extraction of longitudinal trajectory data, 2. general data cleaning, and 3. data-specific cleaning to obtain the longitudinal trajectory data and car-following trajectory data. The validity of the processed data is affirmed through performance evaluations across safety, mobility, stability, and sustainability, along with an analysis of the relationships between variables in car-following models. Our work not only furnishes researchers with standardized data and metrics for longitudinal AV behavior studies but also sets guidelines for data collection and model development.

Terminal agents are moving beyond local operations toward completing real-world professional tasks. Short trajectories can demonstrate commands and tool calls, but they do not fully show how agents accumulate evidence through exploration, use it to inform judgments, continually adjust strategies based on feedback, and turn intermediate results into final deliverables. High-quality long-horizon trajectories capture these agentic behavioral patterns and their connections within a single problem-solving process, providing richer experience for sustained autonomous work. However, environment synthesis may complete or simplify the key work underlying these patterns in advance and thus remove the need for exploration, implementation, and verification that the agent was meant to perform. To address this, we introduce TerminalHorizon, a fully automated data synthesis engine for long-horizon terminal agents. Starting from real-world professional work, it uses independent execution to identify key work omitted during construction and uses the resulting evidence to guide environment reconstruction. To extend these patterns across stages, it progressively expands tasks under the same goal, introducing new requirements that build on prior results and call for further exploration and improvement. Using this engine, we construct 1.5K task environments and perform supervised fine-tuning of Qwen3.5-27B on the resulting dataset to obtain TerminalHorizon-27B. We achieve substantial performance gains on all 12 benchmarks spanning coding-agent tasks, agentic tasks in real-world production settings, and general reasoning. Multiple RSI case studies, each with a 12-hour research budget, further demonstrate the model's ability to continue experimenting beyond an initial solution, improve its methods based on feedback, and retain effective improvements in its final deliverables.

Predicting how a dynamical unit evolves over time - how an individual ages, an epidemic spreads, or a physical system degrades - typically requires dense longitudinal tracking. When only extremely sparse or entirely cross-sectional data is available, inferring individualized, continuous-time trajectories is fundamentally ill-posed. Existing methods force a strict compromise: sequence models (e.g. latent ODEs) require dense longitudinal data, while cross-sectional methods (e.g. optimal transport, flow matching-based) map aggregate populations, losing individual dynamics. In this paper, we demonstrate that this dichotomy can be broken. We introduce CADENCE, a principled probabilistic framework that recovers continuous individual trajectories from isolated snapshots by anchoring latent dynamics to static, individual-level contexts. We provide novel identifiability guarantees for single-timepoint trajectory inference. By combining a score-based spatial encoder (bijective Probability Flow ODE) to eliminate diffeomorphic ambiguities with a Soft Mixture-of-Experts (SMoE) router, we show that individual dynamical parameters and routing function are jointly identifiable. Across a suite of benchmarks spanning physical systems to real-world biological data, CADENCE, trained strictly on extremely sparse snapshots with context structure, matches or exceeds the performance of state-of-the-art sequential models trained on dense, full-trajectory data.

Vision-language-action models (VLAs) have been extensively used in robotics applications, achieving great success in various manipulation problems. More recently, VLAs have been used in long-horizon tasks and evaluated on benchmarks, such as BEHAVIOR1K (B1K), for solving complex household chores. The common metric for measuring progress in such benchmarks is success rate or partial score based on satisfaction of progress-agnostic criteria, meaning only the final states of the objects are considered, regardless of the events that lead to such states. In this paper, we argue that using such evaluation protocols say little about safety aspects of operation and can potentially exaggerate reported performance, undermining core challenges for future real-world deployment. To this end, we conduct a thorough analysis of state-of-the-art models on the B1K Challenge and evaluate policies in terms of robustness via reproducibility and consistency of performance, safety aspects of policies operations, task awareness, and key elements leading to the incompletion of tasks. We then propose evaluation protocols to capture safety violations to better measure the true performance of the policies in more complex and interactive scenarios. At the end, we discuss the limitations of the existing VLAs and motivate future research.

Accurate prediction of object trajectories during manipulation is essential for closing the perception-action loop. Progress is limited on two fronts: available datasets lack fine-grained language-to-motion annotations, and existing predictors either rely on privileged inputs such as video, depth, or CAD models, or recover motion from fully generated videos through costly, error-prone perception pipelines. We close the supervision gap with the MOVE dataset, 5,038 object-centric egocentric trajectories, each paired with a fine-grained natural-language instruction rather than a coarse verb-noun label. We further propose DreamTraj, which predicts a 6-DoF object trajectory from a single RGB image and a task instruction, requiring no video, depth, or CAD model at inference: rather than generating a video, it reads motion from the internal representations of a frozen image-to-video diffusion model at an early denoising step. A lightweight flow-matching Reader decodes query-key attention tracks and pooled hidden states into relative 6-DoF poses. To our knowledge, this is the first approach to directly decode object 6-DoF trajectories from intermediate video diffusion representations rather than generated pixels. DreamTraj sets a new state of the art on both translation and rotation against forecasters that consume multi-frame or privileged inputs, and runs 4.6x faster than generate-then-extract pipelines.

LLM-based (Large Language Model) GUI (Graphical User Interface) agents can potentially reshape our daily lives significantly. However, current LLM-based GUI agents suffer from the scarcity of high-quality training data owing to the difficulties of trajectory collection and reward annotation. Existing works have been exploring LLMs to collect trajectories for imitation learning or to offer reward signals for online RL training. However, the Outcome Reward Model (ORM) used in existing works cannot provide finegrained feedback and can over-penalize the valuable steps in finally failed trajectories. To this end, we propose Progress Reward Model (ProgRM) to provide dense informative intermediate rewards by predicting a task completion progress for each step in online training. To handle the challenge of progress reward label annotation, we further design an efficient LCS-based (Longest Common Subsequence) self-annotation algorithm to discover the key steps in trajectories and assign progress labels accordingly. ProgRM is evaluated with extensive experiments and analyses. Actors trained with ProgRM outperform leading proprietary LLMs and ORM-trained actors, illustrating the effectiveness of ProgRM. The codes for experiments will be made publicly available upon acceptance.

Agentic systems are evaluated on benchmarks where agents interact with environments to solve tasks. Most papers report a pass@1 score computed from a single run per task, assuming this gives a reliable performance estimate. We test this assumption by collecting 60,000 agentic trajectories on SWE-Bench-Verified, spanning three models and two scaffolds. We find substantial variance: single-run pass@1 estimates vary by 2.2 to 6.0 percentage points depending on which run is selected, with standard deviations exceeding 1.5 percentage points even at temperature 0. This variance has critical implications: reported improvements of 2--3 percentage points may reflect evaluation noise rather than genuine algorithmic progress. Through token-level analysis, we show that trajectories diverge early, often within the first few percent of tokens, and that these small differences cascade into different solution strategies. To enable reliable evaluation of agentic systems, we recommend three concrete practices: (1) estimate pass@1 from multiple independent runs per task, especially when measuring small improvements, (2) use statistical power analysis to determine the number of runs needed to detect expected effect sizes, and (3) consider metrics like pass@k (optimistic bound) and pass^k (pessimistic bound) with k>1 to better characterize the full performance envelope. While these practices increase evaluation cost, they are essential for distinguishing genuine scientific progress from statistical noise.

Recovering dense and long-range pixel motion in videos is a challenging problem. Part of the difficulty arises from the 3D-to-2D projection process, leading to occlusions and discontinuities in the 2D motion domain. While 2D motion can be intricate, we posit that the underlying 3D motion can often be simple and low-dimensional. In this work, we propose to estimate point trajectories in 3D space to mitigate the issues caused by image projection. Our method, named SpatialTracker, lifts 2D pixels to 3D using monocular depth estimators, represents the 3D content of each frame efficiently using a triplane representation, and performs iterative updates using a transformer to estimate 3D trajectories. Tracking in 3D allows us to leverage as-rigid-as-possible (ARAP) constraints while simultaneously learning a rigidity embedding that clusters pixels into different rigid parts. Extensive evaluation shows that our approach achieves state-of-the-art tracking performance both qualitatively and quantitatively, particularly in challenging scenarios such as out-of-plane rotation.

In this paper, we address the problem of human trajectory forecasting, which aims to predict the inherently multi-modal future movements of humans based on their past trajectories and other contextual cues. We propose a novel motion prediction conditional flow matching model, termed MoFlow, to predict K-shot future trajectories for all agents in a given scene. We design a novel flow matching loss function that not only ensures at least one of the K sets of future trajectories is accurate but also encourages all K sets of future trajectories to be diverse and plausible. Furthermore, by leveraging the implicit maximum likelihood estimation (IMLE), we propose a novel distillation method for flow models that only requires samples from the teacher model. Extensive experiments on the real-world datasets, including SportVU NBA games, ETH-UCY, and SDD, demonstrate that both our teacher flow model and the IMLE-distilled student model achieve state-of-the-art performance. These models can generate diverse trajectories that are physically and socially plausible. Moreover, our one-step student model is 100 times faster than the teacher flow model during sampling. The code, model, and data are available at our project page: https://moflow-imle.github.io

This paper introduces MCTrack, a new 3D multi-object tracking method that achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance across KITTI, nuScenes, and Waymo datasets. Addressing the gap in existing tracking paradigms, which often perform well on specific datasets but lack generalizability, MCTrack offers a unified solution. Additionally, we have standardized the format of perceptual results across various datasets, termed BaseVersion, facilitating researchers in the field of multi-object tracking (MOT) to concentrate on the core algorithmic development without the undue burden of data preprocessing. Finally, recognizing the limitations of current evaluation metrics, we propose a novel set that assesses motion information output, such as velocity and acceleration, crucial for downstream tasks. The source codes of the proposed method are available at this link: https://github.com/megvii-research/MCTrack}{https://github.com/megvii-research/MCTrack

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models excel in robotic manipulation but are constrained by their heavy reliance on expert demonstrations, leading to demonstration bias and limiting performance. Reinforcement learning (RL) is a vital post-training strategy to overcome these limits, yet current VLA-RL methods, including group-based optimization approaches, are crippled by severe reward sparsity. Relying on binary success indicators wastes valuable information in failed trajectories, resulting in low training efficiency. To solve this, we propose Self-Referential Policy Optimization (SRPO), a novel VLA-RL framework. SRPO eliminates the need for external demonstrations or manual reward engineering by leveraging the model's own successful trajectories, generated within the current training batch, as a self-reference. This allows us to assign a progress-wise reward to failed attempts. A core innovation is the use of latent world representations to measure behavioral progress robustly. Instead of relying on raw pixels or requiring domain-specific fine-tuning, we utilize the compressed, transferable encodings from a world model's latent space. These representations naturally capture progress patterns across environments, enabling accurate, generalized trajectory comparison. Empirical evaluations on the LIBERO benchmark demonstrate SRPO's efficiency and effectiveness. Starting from a supervised baseline with 48.9% success, SRPO achieves a new state-of-the-art success rate of 99.2% in just 200 RL steps, representing a 103% relative improvement without any extra supervision. Furthermore, SRPO shows substantial robustness, achieving a 167% performance improvement on the LIBERO-Plus benchmark.

Coding agents solve repository issues through long sequences of exploration, editing, and validation. These trajectories are increasingly used as post-training data, so how they are collected shapes what the trained model learns. A common approach is to sample multiple trajectories independently for each issue and then select or curate them. However, as more trajectories are sampled independently, later trajectories become increasingly redundant, even though earlier trajectories could guide where subsequent collection effort should be spent. A natural way to use this history is to expose it to the coding agent as advice. But training on such trajectories can make the model rely on advice that is unavailable at test time, creating a train-test mismatch. Instead, we argue that history should guide where collection effort is spent, while the coding agent decides what to generate. We introduce SWE-Trail, a trajectory collector that uses earlier trajectories to guide subsequent collection while keeping that history outside the coding agent's context. During a new rollout, SWE-Trail uses history to identify a state where additional collection effort may be useful. There, the coding agent proposes candidate next actions from its ordinary context, and SWE-Trail briefly executes them from the same checkpoint to decide which route continues. We evaluate collection approaches by training student models on the trajectories they produce. For a 124B student initialized from Ling-3.0-flash-base, SWE-Trail improves mean resolution over independent sampling by 2.33 and 1.60 percentage points on SWE-bench Multilingual and SWE-bench Pro, respectively. Without history, the same pipeline produces more resolved trajectories than independent sampling, but improves by only 0.11 points on Multilingual. These results show the value of using history to guide collection without exposing it to the coding agent.

Recurrent reasoning models have attracted growing attention for scaling test-time computation, typically by iteratively refining latent states with shared parameters. However, these models apply each learned update with a fixed unit scale, which can be conservative when updates make persistent progress and overly aggressive when they fluctuate, limiting the benefit of additional loops. To understand how the scale should vary along the trajectory, we first analyze the sensitivity of terminal loss to recurrent update scale. We show that its temporal average admits an exact decomposition into persistent-progress and centered-fluctuation contributions. Based on this, we introduce the Trajectory Adaptive Progress-Fluctuation Scheduler (TAPS), which tracks their balance across recurrent updates and adapts the step size online. Theoretically, we establish sufficient conditions under which TAPS reduces expected terminal loss and reaches a target quality in fewer recurrent loops. Empirically, we show that TAPS improves terminal accuracy across structured reasoning tasks without retraining. By further incorporating the progress-fluctuation principle into training, TAPS yields additional accuracy gains with up to 1.56 times wall-clock speedup at matched baseline accuracy. The broad applicability of TAPS is supported by its effectiveness across diverse recurrent architectures and inference strategies. Together, these results establish update scale as complementary control axis of recurrent inference alongside architecture and depth.

Long-horizon agents must complete workflows in which later activities depend on earlier outputs and changes to shared state. A key challenge for evaluation is to expand task requirements and their dependencies while keeping tasks executable and outcomes verifiable. We introduce SkillHorizon, a benchmark that constructs long-horizon tasks through skill composition in seven business environments. Its generators use domain-specific rules to turn reusable skill procedures into concrete business activities. These activities are connected through input-output dependencies, shared resources, and state updates, allowing workload and coordination demands to grow together. Successful reference executions validate task feasibility and measure interaction workload, while programmatic evaluators assess local completion and whole-task success. We evaluate five language models on 1,050 tasks with reference interaction workloads ranging from 64K to 1M tokens. Across these scales, mean local-goal completion falls from 90.4% to 46.8%, as completed work fails to keep pace with growing requirements. At larger workloads, agents more often submit unsuccessful final answers with substantial work unfinished and tool-call allowance remaining. Trace analysis also identifies cases where scripts execute successfully but their outputs fail downstream business checks. SkillHorizon provides a configurable testbed for studying sustained progress, dependency coordination, and complete task delivery in growing workflows. Our code is available at https://github.com/KnowComp/SkillHorizon.

Capturing high-dimensional social interactions and feasible futures is essential for predicting trajectories. To address this complex nature, several attempts have been devoted to reducing the dimensionality of the output variables via parametric curve fitting such as the B\'ezier curve and B-spline function. However, these functions, which originate in computer graphics fields, are not suitable to account for socially acceptable human dynamics. In this paper, we present EigenTrajectory (ET), a trajectory prediction approach that uses a novel trajectory descriptor to form a compact space, known here as ET space, in place of Euclidean space, for representing pedestrian movements. We first reduce the complexity of the trajectory descriptor via a low-rank approximation. We transform the pedestrians' history paths into our ET space represented by spatio-temporal principle components, and feed them into off-the-shelf trajectory forecasting models. The inputs and outputs of the models as well as social interactions are all gathered and aggregated in the corresponding ET space. Lastly, we propose a trajectory anchor-based refinement method to cover all possible futures in the proposed ET space. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our EigenTrajectory predictor can significantly improve both the prediction accuracy and reliability of existing trajectory forecasting models on public benchmarks, indicating that the proposed descriptor is suited to represent pedestrian behaviors. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/inhwanbae/EigenTrajectory .

Current paradigms for training language models via reinforcement learning rely heavily on sparse outcome rewards. However, as we pursue tasks that require longer and more complicated trajectories, such strategies result in slow learning. Prior work has attempted to address this problem by rewarding partial progress; however, naive formulations are often biased and converge to suboptimal policies. We show that a simple and unbiased dense reward formulation, which we term progressive point matching, scales exponentially more efficiently to long-horizon tasks by rewarding partial progress on a segment level, both theoretically and empirically via synthetic environments. We then show how progressive point matching can be practically instantiated using a single reference trajectory per task. On extremely hard math reasoning problems, sparse outcome rewards cannot make any progress, whereas segment-level rewards enable improvements at larger test-time token budgets when measured by success rate or pass@k.

Probabilistic completeness is an important property in motion planning. Although it has been established with clear assumptions for geometric planners, the panorama of completeness results for kinodynamic planners is still incomplete, as most existing proofs rely on strong assumptions that are difficult, if not impossible, to verify on practical systems. In this paper, we focus on an important class of kinodynamic planners, namely those that interpolate trajectories in the state space. We provide a proof of probabilistic completeness for these planners under assumptions that can be readily verified from the system's equations of motion and the user-defined interpolation function. Our proof relies crucially on a property of interpolated trajectories, termed second-order continuity (SOC), which we show is tightly related to the ability of a planner to benefit from denser sampling. We analyze the impact of this property in simulations on a low-torque pendulum. Our results show that a simple RRT using a second-order continuous interpolation swiftly finds solution, while it is impossible for the same planner using standard Bezier curves (which are not SOC) to find any solution.

Evaluation of software engineering (SWE) agents is dominated by a binary signal: whether the final patch passes the tests. This outcome-only view treats a principled solution and a chaotic trial-and-error process as equivalent. We show that this equivalence is empirically false. We evaluate 2,614 OpenHands trajectories from eight model backends on 60 SWE-bench Verified tasks. Of these, 47 have enough passing trajectories to construct task-level process references, yielding a 1,815-trajectory evaluation subset. Among passing trajectories in this subset, 10.7% exhibit behavior we call a Lucky Pass: regression cycles, blind retries, missing verification, or temporally disordered exploration, implementation, and verification. We introduce AgentLens, a framework for process-level assessment of SWE-agent trajectories, and release AgentLens-Bench, a dataset of 1,815 trajectories annotated with quality scores, waste signals, divergence points, and 47 task-level Prefix Tree Acceptor (PTA) references. AgentLens builds PTA references by merging multiple passing solutions for the same task, and uses a context-sensitive intent labeler to assign actions to Exploration, Implementation, Verification, or Orchestration based on trajectory history rather than tool identity alone. On AgentLens-Bench, the quality score separates passing trajectories into Lucky, Solid, and Ideal tiers and further decomposes Lucky Passes into five recurring mechanisms. Across the eight model backends, Lucky rates range from 0.5% to 23.2%, and some models move by as many as five rank positions when ranked by quality score instead of pass rate. We release the anonymized project repository, including the AgentLens-Bench dataset and AgentLens SDK, at https://github.com/microsoft/code-agent-state-trajectories/.

Spatiotemporal trajectories are sequences of timestamped locations, which enable a variety of analyses that in turn enable important real-world applications. It is common to map trajectories to vectors, called embeddings, before subsequent analyses. Thus, the qualities of embeddings are very important. Methods for pre-training embeddings, which leverage unlabeled trajectories for training universal embeddings, have shown promising applicability across different tasks, thus attracting considerable interest. However, research progress on this topic faces two key challenges: a lack of a comprehensive overview of existing methods, resulting in several related methods not being well-recognized, and the absence of a unified pipeline, complicating the development of new methods and the analysis of methods. We present UniTE, a survey and a unified pipeline for this domain. In doing so, we present a comprehensive list of existing methods for pre-training trajectory embeddings, which includes methods that either explicitly or implicitly employ pre-training techniques. Further, we present a unified and modular pipeline with publicly available underlying code, simplifying the process of constructing and evaluating methods for pre-training trajectory embeddings. Additionally, we contribute a selection of experimental results using the proposed pipeline on real-world datasets. Implementation of the pipeline is publicly available at https://github.com/Logan-Lin/UniTE.

Urban mobility is naturally expressed both as trajectories in space and as natural-language descriptions of travel intent, constraints, and preferences. However, prior work rarely evaluates these two modalities together on the same real-world trajectories: trajectory modeling often stays geometry-centric, while language-centric mobility benchmarks frequently target route planning and tool use rather than fine-grained, verifiable alignment between text and the underlying route. We introduce TrajPrism, a multi-task benchmark for language-trajectory alignment that unifies (i) instruction-conditioned trajectory generation, (ii) language-driven semantic trajectory retrieval, and (iii) trajectory captioning, together with an evaluation protocol that measures trajectory fidelity, retrieval quality, and language groundedness. We construct TrajPrism by pairing real urban trajectories with judge-filtered language annotations generated under a four-dimensional travel-intent taxonomy. The benchmark contains 300K selected trajectories across Porto, San Francisco, and Beijing, yielding 2.1M task instances from three instruction variants, three retrieval queries, and one caption per trajectory. We further develop proof-of-concept models for each task: TrajAnchor for instruction-conditioned trajectory generation, TrajFuse for semantic trajectory retrieval, and TrajRap for trajectory captioning. These models instantiate the proposed tasks and show that geometry-only trajectory baselines leave a large gap on our protocol, especially where language is part of the input-output interface. We release TrajPrism with code and a reproducible annotation pipeline that is designed to be portable across cities, given compatible trajectory inputs and map resources.

Robust locomotion control depends on accurate state estimations. However, the sensors of most legged robots can only provide partial and noisy observations, making the estimation particularly challenging, especially for external states like terrain frictions and elevation maps. Inspired by the classical Internal Model Control principle, we consider these external states as disturbances and introduce Hybrid Internal Model (HIM) to estimate them according to the response of the robot. The response, which we refer to as the hybrid internal embedding, contains the robot's explicit velocity and implicit stability representation, corresponding to two primary goals for locomotion tasks: explicitly tracking velocity and implicitly maintaining stability. We use contrastive learning to optimize the embedding to be close to the robot's successor state, in which the response is naturally embedded. HIM has several appealing benefits: It only needs the robot's proprioceptions, i.e., those from joint encoders and IMU as observations. It innovatively maintains consistent observations between simulation reference and reality that avoids information loss in mimicking learning. It exploits batch-level information that is more robust to noises and keeps better sample efficiency. It only requires 1 hour of training on an RTX 4090 to enable a quadruped robot to traverse any terrain under any disturbances. A wealth of real-world experiments demonstrates its agility, even in high-difficulty tasks and cases never occurred during the training process, revealing remarkable open-world generalizability.

Internal modelling of the world -- predicting transitions between previous states X and next states Y under actions Z -- is essential to reasoning and planning for LLMs and VLMs. Learning such models typically requires costly action-labelled trajectories. We propose SWIRL, a self-improvement framework that learns from state-only sequences by treating actions as a latent variable and alternating between Forward World Modelling (FWM) P_θ(Y|X,Z) and an Inverse Dynamics Modelling (IDM) Q_φ(Z|X,Y). SWIRL iterates two phases: (1) Variational Information Maximisation, which updates the FWM to generate next states that maximise conditional mutual information with latent actions given prior states, encouraging identifiable consistency; and (2) ELBO Maximisation, which updates the IDM to explain observed transitions, effectively performing coordinate ascent. Both models are trained with reinforcement learning (specifically, GRPO) with the opposite frozen model's log-probability as a reward signal. We provide theoretical learnability guarantees for both updates, and evaluate SWIRL on LLMs and VLMs across multiple environments: single-turn and multi-turn open-world visual dynamics and synthetic textual environments for physics, web, and tool calling. SWIRL achieves gains of 16% on AURORABench, 28% on ByteMorph, 16% on WorldPredictionBench, and 14% on StableToolBench.

Deep Research agents rely on long-horizon reasoning and iterative tool use to solve complex information-seeking tasks. However, adaptive decision-making over these trajectories remains challenging, as agents may stop prematurely when further evidence is needed, continue unnecessarily after sufficient evidence has been gathered, or fail to redirect unproductive trajectories. Existing solutions either require costly model retraining and dense turn-level supervision, or rely on heuristic control rules that are not directly optimized for downstream research utility. This motivates a lightweight, utility-aware alternative for Deep Research control. We formulate adaptive rerouting in long-horizon Deep Research as a state-conditioned trajectory correction problem. Based on this view, we introduce RIVO, a lightweight plug-in framework for adaptive trajectory correction. The agent estimates its research state from lightweight signals and determines whether trajectory redirection is needed. Once triggered, the plug-in modifies the Host token logits to steer generation toward a more promising research direction. Theoretical analysis shows that, under a value-alignment condition and bounded local curvature, a sufficiently small logit intervention can locally improve expected downstream research utility. We further construct BrowseCore, a curated dataset with a paired local corpus, for efficient and controlled Deep Research experimentation. Building on this resource, the plug-in is trained from downstream outcomes, enabling it to learn corrections that improve subsequent research and final task performance. Extensive experiments across multiple Deep Research benchmarks and control settings demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, showing that lightweight logit intervention can improve long-horizon research without retraining the underlying Host model.

Can large language model (LLM) agents deliver expert-level operations research (OR) solutions directly from original client materials, without prior expert reformulation? Existing OR benchmarks typically begin with self-contained descriptions or predefined optimization tasks, underrepresenting the translation of original business materials into professionally validated solutions. We introduce OR-License, an end-to-end benchmark of 31 instances across 10 industrial scenarios from paid OR engagements totaling USD 3.68 million. It preserves original requirements, input data, deliverable formats, and information boundaries after de-identification. To study information acquisition, we introduce ORSim, a controlled client simulator that discloses business facts without supplying OR expertise. Hidden evaluation checks feasibility and compares objective quality against original expert solutions accepted by clients before benchmark construction. Deployment-Adjusted Quality (DAQ) averages expert-relative quality across instances, assigning zero to infeasible deliveries. Across 11 frontier LLMs using coding-agent harnesses, several exceed the expert reference in conditional objective quality, but none matches its DAQ; the strongest primary Claude Code configuration achieves 88.39% strict feasibility and a DAQ of 0.87 against the expert reference of 1. Client information acquisition extends beyond clarification into solution development and validation, with some later stages showing higher confirmed issue-resolution proportions. Trajectory analysis identifies formulation and implementation failures, while task-equalized research-chain completion rates range from 24% to 45% across models on evaluable tasks. These findings motivate sustained information-gap resolution, faithful problem formulation, and evidence-linked self-improvement for reliable long-horizon agents.

This work presents a novel online model-predictive trajectory planner for robotic manipulators called BoundMPC. This planner allows the collision-free following of Cartesian reference paths in the end-effector's position and orientation, including via-points, within desired asymmetric bounds of the orthogonal path error. The path parameter synchronizes the position and orientation reference paths. The decomposition of the path error into the tangential direction, describing the path progress, and the orthogonal direction, which represents the deviation from the path, is well known for the position from the path-following control in the literature. This paper extends this idea to the orientation by utilizing the Lie theory of rotations. Moreover, the orthogonal error plane is further decomposed into basis directions to define asymmetric Cartesian error bounds easily. Using piecewise linear position and orientation reference paths with via-points is computationally very efficient and allows replanning the pose trajectories during the robot's motion. This feature makes it possible to use this planner for dynamically changing environments and varying goals. The flexibility and performance of BoundMPC are experimentally demonstrated by two scenarios on a 7-DoF Kuka LBR iiwa 14 R820 robot. The first scenario shows the transfer of a larger object from a start to a goal pose through a confined space where the object must be tilted. The second scenario deals with grasping an object from a table where the grasping point changes during the robot's motion, and collisions with other obstacles in the scene must be avoided.

We present a novel data-driven simulation environment for modeling traffic in metropolitan street intersections. Using real-world tracking data collected over an extended period of time, we train trajectory forecasting models to learn agent interactions and environmental constraints that are difficult to capture conventionally. Trajectories of new agents are first coarsely generated by sampling from the spatial and temporal generative distributions, then refined using state-of-the-art trajectory forecasting models. The simulation can run either autonomously, or under explicit human control conditioned on the generative distributions. We present the experiments for a variety of model configurations. Under an iterative prediction scheme, the way-point-supervised TrajNet++ model obtained 0.36 Final Displacement Error (FDE) in 20 FPS on an NVIDIA A100 GPU.

Trajectory-based data attribution methods estimate the influence of training samples on model predictions by unrolling the training trajectory. They are widely used in applications such as data selection, data valuation, and model diagnosis, but there is a lack of comprehensive error analysis of these methods, raising concerns about method faithfulness and hindering reliable deployment. In this work, we provide the first systematic analysis of error sources in trajectory-based data attribution, together with concrete remedies to mitigate them and practical guidelines for downstream use. We organize the total error into three categories, config-level, algorithm-level, and system-level. We make three contributions. First, we identify optimizer mismatch as the dominant config-level error: existing methods derive their attribution under the assumption of SGD, even for models trained with the modern de facto optimizer AdamW. We propose AdamW-influence to fully account for AdamW's optimization dynamics, yielding improvements from 10% to over 300% in Spearman correlation between estimated and ground-truth influence across four settings spanning MLP, CNN, GPT-2, and Llama 3.2-1B. Second, we isolate the remaining algorithm-level error arising from the first-order Taylor approximation, identify the learning rate and trajectory length as factors governing the error magnitude, and derive a closed-form error proxy that can be evaluated along the original trajectory without retraining. Third, we translate these insights into practical guidelines for data selection by unifying offline and online strategies under a K-step look-ahead framework. Under this framework, online selection with a short horizon often matches or exceeds offline, and the optimal horizon can be tuned jointly with the learning rate. Together, these results turn the framework into an actionable selection recipe for practitioners.

In this paper, we systematically investigate the mechanisms, scaling behavior, and generalization of physical Recursive self-improvement. We introduce PhysRSI-eval to quantify physical RSI through a five-axis metric: First-Attempt Performance, Efficiency, Success, Budget and Improvement from failure. Different VLMs are evaluated on 18 manipulation tasks under a fixed interaction budget. The analysis of experimental results motivates the Physical Barrel Hypothesis: different capabilities may constrain different parts of improvement. The five-axis metrics also distinguish systems with close public benchmark averages and show that high scores need not come with early or efficient gains. We study observational scaling from two perspectives: predicting the relative performance of VLM agents from their public capabilities, and forecasting later progress from early physical feedback. Together, these analyses ask how quickly and how far an agent can improve. Moreover, we conduct workspace interventions and then analyze what improvement leaves behind. Removing history reduces late-round success, frozen workspaces remain useful on unseen layouts, and three cross-task cases achieve success earlier. The results suggest that scene-specific adaptation and reusable experience can coexist.

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has become a core post-training recipe. Introducing suitable off-policy trajectories into on-policy exploration accelerates RLVR convergence and raises the performance ceiling, yet finding a source of such trajectories remains the key challenge. Existing mixed-policy methods either import trajectories from external teachers (high-quality but distributionally far) or replay past training trajectories (close but capped in quality), and neither simultaneously satisfies the strong enough (higher Q , more new knowledge to learn) and close enough (lower V , more readily absorbed) conditions required to maximize the effective learning signal S = Q/V. We propose Near-Future Policy Optimization (NPO), a simple mixed-policy scheme that learns from a policy's own near-future self: a later checkpoint from the same training run is a natural source of auxiliary trajectories that is both stronger than the current policy and closer than any external source, directly balancing trajectory quality against variance cost. We validate NPO through two manual interventions, early-stage bootstrapping and late-stage plateau breakthrough, and further propose AutoNPO,an adaptive variant that automatically triggers interventions from online training signals and selects the guide checkpoint that maximizes S. On Qwen3-VL-8B-Instruct with GRPO, NPO improves average performance from 57.88 to 62.84, and AutoNPO pushes it to 63.15, raising the final performance ceiling while accelerating convergence.

On-policy self-distillation (OPSD) uses a privileged teacher to supervise a reasoning model on prefixes sampled from its own rollouts. Yet each rollout also reveals how the student's response unfolds and whether it succeeds, student-specific hindsight that standard OPSD does not use to form the teacher. We introduce Privileged Adaptation from Student Trajectories (PAST), which treats each completed student trajectory as additional privileged information for the OPSD teacher while leaving the student's distillation prefixes unchanged. PAST preserves the student's next-token distribution on correct trajectories and uses failed trajectories to adapt the teacher toward verified success under student-proximity regularization. We characterize what such a trajectory-conditioned teacher can transfer to a prefix-only student. Forward-KL distillation projects the teacher distributions to their conditional arithmetic mean given the prefix. This projection separates trajectory-specific variation that remains privileged from the mean policy shift available to the student. For correct trajectories, the unclipped population objective also has the frozen student as an ideal distributional fixed point. Across three mathematical reasoning benchmarks, PAST improves the Avg@12 macro average over Vanilla OPSD by 5.6 percentage points. A 2times2 factorial study shows gains from both complete-trajectory access and teacher adaptation, while trajectory removal and shuffling confirm that the adapted teacher uses the matching hindsight context.

End-to-end driving systems have recently made rapid progress, in particular on CARLA. Independent of their major contribution, they introduce changes to minor system components. Consequently, the source of improvements is unclear. We identify two biases that recur in nearly all state-of-the-art methods and are critical for the observed progress on CARLA: (1) lateral recovery via a strong inductive bias towards target point following, and (2) longitudinal averaging of multimodal waypoint predictions for slowing down. We investigate the drawbacks of these biases and identify principled alternatives. By incorporating our insights, we develop TF++, a simple end-to-end method that ranks first on the Longest6 and LAV benchmarks, gaining 14 driving score over the best prior work on Longest6.

Training deep research agents requires long-horizon trajectories that interleave search, evidence aggregation, and multi-step reasoning. However, existing data collection pipelines typically rely on proprietary web APIs, making large-scale trajectory synthesis costly, unstable, and difficult to reproduce. We present OpenResearcher, a reproducible pipeline that decouples one-time corpus bootstrapping from multi-turn trajectory synthesis and executes the search-and-browse loop entirely offline using three explicit browser primitives: search, open, and find, over a 15M-document corpus. Using GPT-OSS-120B as the teacher model, we synthesize over 97K trajectories, including a substantial long-horizon tail with 100+ tool calls. Supervised fine-tuning a 30B-A3B backbone on these trajectories achieves 54.8\% accuracy on BrowseComp-Plus, a +34.0 point improvement over the base model, while remaining competitive on BrowseComp, GAIA, and xbench-DeepSearch. Because the environment is offline and fully instrumented, it also enables controlled analysis, where our study reveals practical insights into deep research pipeline design, including data filtering strategies, agent configuration choices, and how retrieval success relates to final answer accuracy. We release the pipeline, synthesized trajectories, model checkpoints, and the offline search environment at https://github.com/TIGER-AI-Lab/OpenResearcher.

Building accurate decision-support tools for next-generation air traffic control requires robust trajectory prediction models. We present a flow-matching architecture trained exclusively on historical aircraft trajectories, with no route labels or chart supervision. Trained on 1.15 million Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast trajectory windows collected over the San Francisco Bay Area, the model generates aircraft trajectory distributions that closely match historical traffic, reproducing known airspace structure around San Francisco Airport such as the shape of SFO's published NIITE FOUR departure procedure. Our model is trained directly on the native, irregular ADS-B sampling interval. Trajectory prediction is cast as sequence inpainting using a block-causal Transformer that denoises future state tokens conditioned on the observed history using Conditional Flow Matching or Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models. We compare our architecture against constant-velocity, deterministic-Long Short Term Memory, and Conditional Variational Autoencoders baselines. At matched parameter count, CFM outperforms DDPM by 11-26% in minADE@20, and both generative objectives surpass the CVAE baseline by 31-41%. We further show that the error degrades gracefully with prediction horizon, and the architecture remains effective when retrained on temporally decimated feeds. Lastly, we sample K independent completions, yielding spatial probabilistic occupancy estimates that can serve as input to downstream conflict-risk estimation.

Matching objectives underpin the success of modern generative models and rely on constructing conditional paths that transform a source distribution into a target distribution. Despite being a fundamental building block, conditional paths have been designed principally under the assumption of Euclidean geometry, resulting in straight interpolations. However, this can be particularly restrictive for tasks such as trajectory inference, where straight paths might lie outside the data manifold, thus failing to capture the underlying dynamics giving rise to the observed marginals. In this paper, we propose Metric Flow Matching (MFM), a novel simulation-free framework for conditional flow matching where interpolants are approximate geodesics learned by minimizing the kinetic energy of a data-induced Riemannian metric. This way, the generative model matches vector fields on the data manifold, which corresponds to lower uncertainty and more meaningful interpolations. We prescribe general metrics to instantiate MFM, independent of the task, and test it on a suite of challenging problems including LiDAR navigation, unpaired image translation, and modeling cellular dynamics. We observe that MFM outperforms the Euclidean baselines, particularly achieving SOTA on single-cell trajectory prediction.

Understanding the progress of a task allows humans to not only track what has been done but also to better plan for future goals. We demonstrate TaKSIE, a novel framework that incorporates task progress knowledge into visual subgoal generation for robotic manipulation tasks. We jointly train a recurrent network with a latent diffusion model to generate the next visual subgoal based on the robot's current observation and the input language command. At execution time, the robot leverages a visual progress representation to monitor the task progress and adaptively samples the next visual subgoal from the model to guide the manipulation policy. We train and validate our model in simulated and real-world robotic tasks, achieving state-of-the-art performance on the CALVIN manipulation benchmark. We find that the inclusion of task progress knowledge can improve the robustness of trained policy for different initial robot poses or various movement speeds during demonstrations. The project website can be found at https://live-robotics-uva.github.io/TaKSIE/ .

Accumulating substantial volumes of real-world driving data proves pivotal in the realm of trajectory forecasting for autonomous driving. Given the heavy reliance of current trajectory forecasting models on data-driven methodologies, we aim to tackle the challenge of learning general trajectory forecasting representations under limited data availability. We propose a pipeline-level solution to mitigate the issue of data scarcity in trajectory forecasting. The solution is composed of two parts: firstly, we adopt HD map augmentation and trajectory synthesis for generating driving data, and then we learn representations by pre-training on them. Specifically, we apply vector transformations to reshape the maps, and then employ a rule-based model to generate trajectories on both original and augmented scenes; thus enlarging the driving data without collecting additional real ones. To foster the learning of general representations within this augmented dataset, we comprehensively explore the different pre-training strategies, including extending the concept of a Masked AutoEncoder (MAE) for trajectory forecasting. Without bells and whistles, our proposed pipeline-level solution is general, simple, yet effective: we conduct extensive experiments to demonstrate the effectiveness of our data expansion and pre-training strategies, which outperform the baseline prediction model by large margins, e.g. 5.04%, 3.84% and 8.30% in terms of MR_6, minADE_6 and minFDE_6. The pre-training dataset and the codes for pre-training and fine-tuning are released at https://github.com/yhli123/Pretraining_on_Synthetic_Driving_Data_for_Trajectory_Prediction.

Reinforcement learning enables large language model (LLM) agents to learn multi-step behaviors through interaction with their environments. However, rewards in many interactive tasks reflect only the final outcome, providing limited guidance on which intermediate decisions advance the task. Successful training trajectories contain intermediate states that can provide supervision for subsequent interactions. We introduce Trajectory-to-Step Policy Optimization (T2SPO), a method that uses past interaction trajectories to provide step-level feedback for policy learning. T2SPO derives remaining-distance targets from successful trajectories and pairs them with representations of the states visited along the way. Conditioned on these examples, a pretrained TabPFN regressor estimates the remaining distance to success at each state of a new rollout. Changes in this distance estimate across consecutive states yield auxiliary credit for agent steps alongside task-level supervision. As training proceeds, newly completed trajectories refresh the estimator's context, incorporating new experience without updating its parameters. Experiments with 1.5B and 7B language models on ALFWorld and WebShop show that T2SPO consistently improves overall task success over GRPO.

There are five types of trajectory prediction tasks: deterministic, stochastic, domain adaptation, momentary observation, and few-shot. These associated tasks are defined by various factors, such as the length of input paths, data split and pre-processing methods. Interestingly, even though they commonly take sequential coordinates of observations as input and infer future paths in the same coordinates as output, designing specialized architectures for each task is still necessary. For the other task, generality issues can lead to sub-optimal performances. In this paper, we propose SingularTrajectory, a diffusion-based universal trajectory prediction framework to reduce the performance gap across the five tasks. The core of SingularTrajectory is to unify a variety of human dynamics representations on the associated tasks. To do this, we first build a Singular space to project all types of motion patterns from each task into one embedding space. We next propose an adaptive anchor working in the Singular space. Unlike traditional fixed anchor methods that sometimes yield unacceptable paths, our adaptive anchor enables correct anchors, which are put into a wrong location, based on a traversability map. Finally, we adopt a diffusion-based predictor to further enhance the prototype paths using a cascaded denoising process. Our unified framework ensures the generality across various benchmark settings such as input modality, and trajectory lengths. Extensive experiments on five public benchmarks demonstrate that SingularTrajectory substantially outperforms existing models, highlighting its effectiveness in estimating general dynamics of human movements. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/inhwanbae/SingularTrajectory .

Large language model (LLM) agents increasingly operate through long-horizon trajectories involving user instructions, tool use, external observations, and memory. Existing benchmarks primarily evaluate behavioral outcomes but provide limited support for fine-grained attribution analysis. We introduce trajectory attribution and develop a benchmark and annotation framework for this task. The benchmark organizes heterogeneous trajectories under a unified component schema and provides annotations of the primary attribution component, together with attack and execution chains where applicable. Instantiating the benchmark with trajectories from AgentDojo and the Stage and Canary settings of Agent3Sigma yields more than 1,300 annotated trajectories covering task-aligned actions, unsafe actions, and safety refusals. The benchmark defines two evaluation tasks, primary attribution localization and attribution-chain recovery, and provides reference baselines based on incremental trajectory contribution and component-level leave-one-out perturbation. It captures diverse attribution settings, including local and long-range attribution as well as structured attribution chains. Reference baseline results exhibit substantial performance differences across these settings, providing an initial characterization of the benchmark's attribution challenges. Beyond this initial instantiation, we release a reusable annotation skill that enables trajectories generated by new agent models to be standardized, annotated, and evaluated under the same framework. Project resources and future releases are available at https://github.com/chenjing-2024/agent-trajectory-attribution.

Autoresearch agents tackle open-ended problems by repeatedly proposing candidate solutions, evaluating them, and using feedback to guide subsequent experiments. We show that independent runs of the same agent on the same task often plateau at substantially different scores, with gaps that persist even after considerable additional compute. Embedding their candidate artifacts by functional similarity provides further evidence that trajectories remain in localized regions of the solution space, which we call idea basins. To help agents escape these basins, we study a simple periodic intervention, fork-and-flush. Our method forks the agent into parallel trajectories, each inheriting the accumulated workspace but starting with a fresh chat context. After running each trajectory for a fixed horizon, the agent continues from the highest-scoring one. Across 13 long-horizon research and engineering tasks, with individual agent runs lasting up to several days, fork-and-flush outperformed the single-run and best-of-N baselines by a relative improvement of 66.0% and 44.4%, respectively, on the min-max normalized average score under an equal compute budget.

The robotics community has consistently aimed to achieve generalizable robot manipulation with flexible natural language instructions. One primary challenge is that obtaining robot trajectories fully annotated with both actions and texts is time-consuming and labor-intensive. However, partially-annotated data, such as human activity videos without action labels and robot trajectories without text labels, are much easier to collect. Can we leverage these data to enhance the generalization capabilities of robots? In this paper, we propose GR-MG, a novel method which supports conditioning on a text instruction and a goal image. During training, GR-MG samples goal images from trajectories and conditions on both the text and the goal image or solely on the image when text is not available. During inference, where only the text is provided, GR-MG generates the goal image via a diffusion-based image-editing model and conditions on both the text and the generated image. This approach enables GR-MG to leverage large amounts of partially-annotated data while still using languages to flexibly specify tasks. To generate accurate goal images, we propose a novel progress-guided goal image generation model which injects task progress information into the generation process. In simulation experiments, GR-MG improves the average number of tasks completed in a row of 5 from 3.35 to 4.04. In real-robot experiments, GR-MG is able to perform 58 different tasks and improves the success rate from 68.7\% to 78.1\% and 44.4\% to 60.6\% in simple and generalization settings, respectively. It also outperforms comparing baseline methods in few-shot learning of novel skills. Video demos, code, and checkpoints are available on the project page: https://gr-mg.github.io/.

Code agents can autonomously resolve GitHub issues, yet when they fail, current evaluation provides no visibility into where or why. Metrics such as Pass@1 collapse an entire execution into a single binary outcome, making it difficult to identify where and why the agent went wrong. To address this limitation, we introduce TRAJEVAL, a diagnostic framework that decomposes agent trajectories into three interpretable stages: search (file localization), read (function comprehension), and edit (modification targeting). For each stage, we compute precision and recall by comparing against reference patches. Analyzing 16,758 trajectories across three agent architectures and seven models, we find universal inefficiencies (all agents examine approximately 22x more functions than necessary) yet distinct failure modes: GPT-5 locates relevant code but targets edits incorrectly, while Qwen-32B fails at file discovery entirely. We validate that these diagnostics are predictive, achieving model-level Pass@1 prediction within 0.87-2.1% MAE, and actionable: real-time feedback based on trajectory signals improves two state-of-the-art models by 2.2-4.6 percentage points while reducing costs by 20-31%. These results demonstrate that our framework not only provides a more fine-grained analysis of agent behavior, but also translates diagnostic signals into tangible performance gains. More broadly, TRAJEVAL transforms agent evaluation beyond outcome-based benchmarking toward mechanism-driven diagnosis of agent success and failure.

Successful trajectories on difficult tasks provide valuable supervision for model improvement, but specialized harnesses introduce interventions that may be unavailable during deployment. We propose Recursive Self-Rewrite (RSR), a framework that uses one base model, Qwen-3.8-27B, to discover successful solutions under diverse harnesses and reconstruct them as training trajectories under a general harness. A planner extracts procedures into runbooks, a critic screens for verifier and solution leakage and guides recursive revision, and an executor follows qualified runbooks in fresh sandboxes. Across approximately 3K self-curated terminal tasks, three harnesses jointly solve 759 tasks, 34.3% more than the strongest individual harness in the recorded pool. RSR expands 2,001 successful source trajectories into 11,094 rewritten trajectories for supervised finetuning. Training on these trajectories outperforms both the base model and direct trajectory SFT. Compared with the base model, pass@3 increases from 57.0% to 74.2% on Terminal-Bench 2, from 1.5% to 9.1% on Terminal-Bench 4, from 39.0% to 63.0% on our self-curated Terminal-Bench Hard, and from 3.0% to 6.0% on our Software Terminal-Bench. Process reward on Long-Horizon Terminal-Bench rises from 0.21 to 0.29. These results show how diverse harness-assisted experiences can be reconstructed into reusable capabilities for a model operating under a general harness.

Trajectory prediction models often fail in real-world automated driving due to distributional shifts between training and test conditions. Such distributional shifts, whether behavioural or environmental, pose a critical risk by causing the model to make incorrect forecasts in unfamiliar situations. We propose a self-supervised method that trains a decoder in a post-hoc fashion on the self-supervised task of forecasting the second half of observed trajectories from the first half. The L2 norm of the gradient of this forecasting loss with respect to the decoder's final layer defines a score to identify distribution shifts. Our approach, first, does not affect the trajectory prediction model, ensuring no interference with original prediction performance and second, demonstrates substantial improvements on distribution shift detection for trajectory prediction on the Shifts and Argoverse datasets. Moreover, we show that this method can also be used to early detect collisions of a deep Q-Network motion planner in the Highway simulator. Source code is available at https://github.com/Michedev/forecasting-the-past.

Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have sparked growing interest in integrating language-driven techniques into trajectory prediction. By leveraging their semantic and reasoning capabilities, LLMs are reshaping how autonomous systems perceive, model, and predict trajectories. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of this emerging field, categorizing recent work into five directions: (1) Trajectory prediction via language modeling paradigms, (2) Direct trajectory prediction with pretrained language models, (3) Language-guided scene understanding for trajectory prediction, (4) Language-driven data generation for trajectory prediction, (5) Language-based reasoning and interpretability for trajectory prediction. For each, we analyze representative methods, highlight core design choices, and identify open challenges. This survey bridges natural language processing and trajectory prediction, offering a unified perspective on how language can enrich trajectory prediction.

Macroeconomic productivity metrics, such as Total Factor Productivity, register technological breakthroughs with multi-year reporting lags due to administrative survey intervals and national accounting conventions. This paper introduces Hyperspherical Semantic Trajectory Analysis (HSTA), an unsupervised quantitative methodology that tracks technology diffusion directly from unstructured scientific and commercial text streams. We analyze 30,000 filtered document records spanning academic preprints from arXiv and patent application records from the USPTO. By projecting high-dimensional Transformer sentence embeddings onto unit hyperspheres using Spherical K-Means clustering across eight primary sub-topics and UMAP manifold reductions, HSTA formalizes two quantitative metrics: (1) Semantic Centroid Vector Drift, which tracks vocabulary shifts between temporal sub-corpora to identify structural paradigm transformations; and (2) Commercialization Offset, which evaluates cross-corpus peak density alignments between scientific discovery and intellectual property filings. Linking quarterly topic volume velocity with physical hardware metrics from the Epoch AI database, Vector Autoregressive F-tests demonstrate that quarterly paper volume velocity alone does not Granger-cause frontier compute allocation surges at conventional statistical significance levels, highlighting the necessity of conditioning textual signals on physical capital constraints. Empirical results reveal that sub-topics covering Large Language Models (with a drift metric of 0.332) and Artificial Intelligence Systems (with a drift metric of 0.234) undergo the highest rate of semantic evolution, offering an objective, real-time mechanism to complement traditional economic statistics.

Effective spatio-temporal representation is fundamental to modeling, understanding, and predicting dynamics in videos. The atomic unit of a video, the pixel, traces a continuous 3D trajectory over time, serving as the primitive element of dynamics. Based on this principle, we propose representing any video as a Trajectory Field: a dense mapping that assigns a continuous 3D trajectory function of time to each pixel in every frame. With this representation, we introduce Trace Anything, a neural network that predicts the entire trajectory field in a single feed-forward pass. Specifically, for each pixel in each frame, our model predicts a set of control points that parameterizes a trajectory (i.e., a B-spline), yielding its 3D position at arbitrary query time instants. We trained the Trace Anything model on large-scale 4D data, including data from our new platform, and our experiments demonstrate that: (i) Trace Anything achieves state-of-the-art performance on our new benchmark for trajectory field estimation and performs competitively on established point-tracking benchmarks; (ii) it offers significant efficiency gains thanks to its one-pass paradigm, without requiring iterative optimization or auxiliary estimators; and (iii) it exhibits emergent abilities, including goal-conditioned manipulation, motion forecasting, and spatio-temporal fusion. Project page: https://trace-anything.github.io/.

Large language models can generate fluent answers that are unfaithful to the provided context, while many safeguards rely on external verification or a separate judge after generation. We introduce internal flow signatures that audit decision formation from depthwise dynamics at a fixed inter-block monitoring boundary. The method stabilizes token-wise motion via bias-centered monitoring, then summarizes trajectories in compact moving readout-aligned subspaces constructed from the top token and its close competitors within each depth window. Neighboring window frames are aligned by an orthogonal transport, yielding depth-comparable transported step lengths, turning angles, and subspace drift summaries that are invariant to within-window basis choices. A lightweight GRU validator trained on these signatures performs self-checking without modifying the base model. Beyond detection, the validator localizes a culprit depth event and enables a targeted refinement: the model rolls back to the culprit token and clamps an abnormal transported step at the identified block while preserving the orthogonal residual. The resulting pipeline provides actionable localization and low-overhead self-checking from internal decision dynamics. Code is available at github.com/EavnJeong/Internal-Flow-Signatures-for-Self-Checking-and-Refinement-in-LLMs.

Large language models (LLMs) are often post-trained on pre-collected reasoning trajectories to improve their reasoning capability. Such trajectories tend to be long due to complex, interwoven paths, which often include detours on the path toward the answer. However, it has been underexplored whether LLMs indeed benefit from learning complete trajectories in post-training, such as supervised fine-tuning (SFT). Starting from our pilot study, we find that full trajectories provide only limited benefit, while partial trajectories are effective even under heavy truncation. We analyze redundancy in reasoning trajectories through attention-based analyses and controlled token-removal studies, both of which show that intermediate tokens contribute minimally to final reasoning quality. This suggests that avoiding redundant information may allow LLMs to internally infer coherent alternatives by inferring missing steps from their internal knowledge, given known trajectory endpoints. Furthermore, we show that training LLMs using endpoints leads to consistent changes in reasoning behavior, and that it also benefits post-training methods based on reinforcement learning or on-policy distillation, highlighting the need to revisit complete reasoning traces. Code is available at https://github.com/naver-ai/revisiting-trace.

Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) and vision-language models (VLMs) have enabled increasingly capable digital agents for computer use. However, real-world tasks are often long-horizon and involve evolving contexts containing accumulated observations, intermediate edits, failed attempts, and partially completed executions. Existing agents typically operate over raw interaction history, making task progress difficult to interpret, verify, and recover, which ultimately limits reliable long-horizon execution. In this paper, we argue that addressing this challenge requires explicitly structuring both the agent's state and workflow around a unified causal representation of task progress. We present StructAgent, a state-centered framework that introduces a unified state for maintaining compact, verifiable task progress and a structured workflow that regulates progress through verifier-backed state transitions. Building on this design, StructAgent further enables explicit progress checkpointing, evidence-driven task completion, targeted failure recovery, and tool-supported execution, while ensuring that all progress updates remain grounded in verification. Extensive experiments demonstrate that StructAgent consistently improves a wide range of LLM and VLM backbones on long-horizon computer-use tasks. On OSWorld-Verified, it improves Qwen3.5-9B from 27.0\% to 46.9\% success rate and Qwen3.5-27B from 31.6\% to 62.2\%, while achieving a new open-source state of the art of 78.9\% with MiniMax-M3. Moreover, the same framework generalizes beyond desktop environments to Minecraft, demonstrating the generality of our design.

This paper proposes a novel data-driven approach for inertial navigation, which learns to estimate trajectories of natural human motions just from an inertial measurement unit (IMU) in every smartphone. The key observation is that human motions are repetitive and consist of a few major modes (e.g., standing, walking, or turning). Our algorithm regresses a velocity vector from the history of linear accelerations and angular velocities, then corrects low-frequency bias in the linear accelerations, which are integrated twice to estimate positions. We have acquired training data with ground-truth motions across multiple human subjects and multiple phone placements (e.g., in a bag or a hand). The qualitatively and quantitatively evaluations have demonstrated that our algorithm has surprisingly shown comparable results to full Visual Inertial navigation. To our knowledge, this paper is the first to integrate sophisticated machine learning techniques with inertial navigation, potentially opening up a new line of research in the domain of data-driven inertial navigation. We will publicly share our code and data to facilitate further research.

We propose a training recipe that treats charged-particle trajectory parameter regression on high-energy physics detector data as a sequence-modeling task. Kalman filters and linearized least-squares fits have been the classical standard approach for this task: they are optimal estimators for sparsely sampled linear-Gaussian data and are commonly used for trajectory parameter regression (fitting). The classical fitting techniques implemented for this domain reach a final precision of one part in 10^5 through detailed modeling of detector geometry, material, detection effects and precise numerical integration of the equations of motion through the detector's inhomogeneous magnetic field. With this study, we demonstrate that using a bidirectional gated linear recurrent encoder, one is able to reproduce the full precision of classical track fitting techniques. Using a custom kernel, we also achieve significantly higher throughput during GPU inference, compared to classical fitting software running on similarly priced multi-core CPU servers representing typically employed hardware. Such a speedup would lead to considerable cost savings for the pattern recognition at the Large Hadron Collider. To our knowledge, this is the first end-to-end learned track fit to reach the full precision and, at the same time, offer the opportunity to reduce the computing costs.

In this paper, we propose a third-order, i.e., white-noise-on-jerk, Gaussian Process (GP) Trajectory Representation (TR) framework for continuous-time (CT) motion estimation (ME) tasks. Our framework features a unified trajectory representation that encapsulates the kinematic models of both SO(3)timesR^3 and SE(3) pose representations. This encapsulation strategy allows users to use the same implementation of measurement-based factors for either choice of pose representation, which facilitates experimentation and comparison to achieve the best model for the ME task. In addition, unique to our framework, we derive the kinematic models with the closed-form temporal derivatives of the local variable of SO(3) and SE(3), which so far has only been approximated based on the Taylor expansion in the literature. Our experiments show that these kinematic models can improve the estimation accuracy in high-speed scenarios. All analytical Jacobians of the interpolated states with respect to the support states of the trajectory representation, as well as the motion prior factors, are also provided for accelerated Gauss-Newton (GN) optimization. Our experiments demonstrate the efficacy and efficiency of the framework in various motion estimation tasks such as localization, calibration, and odometry, facilitating fast prototyping for ME researchers. We release the source code for the benefit of the community. Our project is available at https://github.com/brytsknguyen/gptr.

Agents are deployed in applications from trip planners and stock trading to IT incident triage. In most cases, LLM agents work autonomously with minimal rule-based safeguarding, leading to cost and safety issues from irreversible actions. Recent works resolve this either by using a safeguard agent to monitor behavior or evaluating logs post-hoc. The first adds cost and latency to every step; the second delivers its verdict after the run, when tokens are burned and damage is done. To overcome this, we propose OnTrack, a streaming monitoring mechanism that compares an agent's steps and dependencies against recorded successful runs to alert users or block the agent in about a millisecond per step. We study this problem in three regimes of decreasing access: full reference access (historical runs and tool schemas), intermediate access (only tool schemas), and no prior knowledge (only step logs as generated). Expectation of OnTrack's monitoring capabilities reduces as data access drops, ranging from plan violation detection to identifying loops, stalls, and repeated tool calls. Finally, we evaluate OnTrack using SWE-bench trajectories. Based on the first 8 steps, our method ranks failing trajectories below succeeding ones better than content similarity approaches (+0.057 AUROC). With an abort policy, we save about 18% of compute that would be burned on failing runs, where 83% of interrupted runs were actually heading to failure (5 out of 6 aborts were correct).

Long-horizon manipulation remains challenging for vision-language-action (VLA) policies: real tasks are multi-step, progress-dependent, and brittle to compounding execution errors. We present LoHo-Manip, a modular framework that scales short-horizon VLA execution to long-horizon instruction following via a dedicated task-management VLM. The manager is decoupled from the executor and is invoked in a receding-horizon manner: given the current observation, it predicts a progress-aware remaining plan that combines (i) a subtask sequence with an explicit done + remaining split as lightweight language memory, and (ii) a visual trace -- a compact 2D keypoint trajectory prompt specifying where to go and what to approach next. The executor VLA is adapted to condition on the rendered trace, thereby turning long-horizon decision-making into repeated local control by following the trace. Crucially, predicting the remaining plan at each step yields an implicit closed loop: failed steps persist in subsequent outputs, and traces update accordingly, enabling automatic continuation and replanning without hand-crafted recovery logic or brittle visual-history buffers. Extensive experiments spanning embodied planning, long-horizon reasoning, trajectory prediction, and end-to-end manipulation in simulation and on a real Franka robot demonstrate strong gains in long-horizon success, robustness, and out-of-distribution generalization. Project page: https://www.liuisabella.com/LoHoManip

Floor-plan-based indoor visual localization enables infrastructure-free positioning, but most methods are developed and evaluated in small residential environments unlike the large public buildings of real deployment. We introduce SlugTrails, a floor plan localization benchmark for large indoor spaces under realistic egocentric sensing: 30 Hz Aria glasses recordings across three campus buildings and six floors (22089 m^2 of floor plan outline), CAD-derived floor plans with semantic classes and circulation space masks, and trajectories aligned into the floor plan frame using laser-surveyed anchors. One protocol covers three practical ways of gathering geometry under a limited field of view -- a single walking frame, a stationary multi-view sweep, and a walking stream with odometry -- so methods designed for different regimes are compared on the same buildings and ground truth. Evaluating five representative geometric and learned systems under their native sensing configurations, we find that stock checkpoints (official released weights) are near zero on SlugTrails (at most 0.004 R@1m30^{circ} on walking single frames), while fine-tuning on SlugTrails improves every trainable family on all three tasks (e.g., F^3Loc 0.0 rightarrow 0.141 single-frame and 0.03 rightarrow 0.66 sequential), with gains compounding as observations accumulate. The same fine-tuned weights also improve cross-dataset generalization on LaMAR with no LaMAR training (sequential R@1m 0.048 rightarrow 0.143 for F^3Loc and 0.063 rightarrow 0.127 for UnLoc), whereas train-from-scratch on SlugTrails alone stays far below fine-tuning from stock weights -- evidence that floor plan localization is currently limited by indoor data rather than by architecture. We release the dataset, protocols, and tools at https://github.com/Head-inthe-Cloud/SlugTrails.

As hyperparameter tuning becomes increasingly costly at scale, efficient tuning methods are essential. Yet principles for guiding hyperparameter tuning remain limited. In this work, we seek to establish such principles by considering a broad range of hyperparameters, including batch size, learning rate, and weight decay. We identify a phenomenon we call trajectory invariance, where pre-training loss curves, gradient noise, and gradient norm exhibit invariance--closely overlapping--with respect to a quantity that combines learning rate and weight decay. This phenomenon effectively reduces the original two-dimensional hyperparameter space to one dimension, yielding an efficient tuning rule: follow the salient direction revealed by trajectory invariance. Furthermore, we refine previous scaling laws and challenge several existing viewpoints. Overall, our work proposes new principles for efficient tuning and inspires future research on scaling laws.

Multi-agent systems (MAS) can complete a task despite local execution errors that are corrected, bypassed, or carried forward without individually determining its outcome. We call these implicit failures (IFs) and study them as signals for process observability beyond final task outcome. Across 1,828 traces from nine MAS-benchmark configurations, IFs occur in 54.3% of successful and 75.2% of failed traces. We develop taxonomies of error types and subsequent absorption mechanisms, supported by human and cross-model annotation audits. Counterfactual replay further probes how repairing an IF changes the final outcome. To examine the practical value of IFs, we evaluate IF-based best-of-N trace selection against existing process reward models, and introduce a novel RL algorithm, IF-GRPO, that uses IF costs to refine preferences among successful trajectories in GRPO. Experiments show that IF-GRPO exhibits some gains in accuracy and process metrics. Importantly, it exposes trade-offs between task performance, IF count and cost, and token-normalized IF density. Overall, our results show that IFs provide complementary process observability into how MAS reach their outcomes, including error recovery, propagation, and IF-based process differences that final task success alone does not expose.

Diffusion models have shown strong competitiveness in offline reinforcement learning tasks by formulating decision-making as sequential generation. However, the practicality of these methods is limited due to the lengthy inference processes they require. In this paper, we address this problem by decomposing the sampling process of diffusion models into two decoupled subprocesses: 1) generating a feasible trajectory, which is a time-consuming process, and 2) optimizing the trajectory. With this decomposition approach, we are able to partially separate efficiency and quality factors, enabling us to simultaneously gain efficiency advantages and ensure quality assurance. We propose the Trajectory Diffuser, which utilizes a faster autoregressive model to handle the generation of feasible trajectories while retaining the trajectory optimization process of diffusion models. This allows us to achieve more efficient planning without sacrificing capability. To evaluate the effectiveness and efficiency of the Trajectory Diffuser, we conduct experiments on the D4RL benchmarks. The results demonstrate that our method achieves it 3-it 10 times faster inference speed compared to previous sequence modeling methods, while also outperforming them in terms of overall performance. https://github.com/RenMing-Huang/TrajectoryDiffuser Keywords: Reinforcement Learning and Efficient Planning and Diffusion Model

Spatial intelligence requires more than describing object locations. Under incomplete observation, models must identify and acquire missing evidence, interpret it in a common spatial frame, and act on it. We introduce VA-Bench to evaluate the complete observe-reason-act-revise loop. General-purpose MLLMs learn procedural context from RGB-only demonstrations, actively select camera viewpoints, issue metric Cartesian commands, and revise them from execution feedback. Models receive no privileged object poses, oracle trajectories, or learned action heads. A fixed model-agnostic controller executes only model-specified targets. VA-Bench contains 14 base task families (11 single-arm and three dual-arm), seven held-out geometry/layout variants, and a long-horizon five-object composition track. We evaluate 12 primary model conditions in three independent runs over the same 20 physically verified seeds per base task, reporting terminal success, nine trajectory-level behavioral diagnostics, and subtask progress. First, the best-performing model scores 100.0% on target localization and 78.9% on spatial relations in the annotated run. Its three-run macro-average task success is only 53.93+/-3.17%. Second, active camera control significantly improves task success over passive multi-view observation. In one matched comparison, success rises from 27.86% to 57.50%. Third, held-out geometric transfer can reduce task success by over 30 percentage points. No model completes a strict long-horizon episode, despite substantial partial progress. VA-Bench thus tests whether general-purpose MLLMs can turn visual demonstrations and actively acquired evidence into successful embodied action.

We propose a novel algorithm for accelerating dense long-term 3D point tracking in videos. Through analysis of existing state-of-the-art methods, we identify two major computational bottlenecks. First, transformer-based iterative tracking becomes expensive when handling a large number of trajectories. To address this, we introduce a coarse-to-fine strategy that begins tracking with a small subset of points and progressively expands the set of tracked trajectories. The newly added trajectories are initialized using a learnable interpolation module, which is trained end-to-end alongside the tracking network. Second, we propose an optimization that significantly reduces the cost of correlation feature computation, another key bottleneck in prior methods. Together, these improvements lead to a 5-100x speedup over existing approaches while maintaining state-of-the-art tracking accuracy.

The path toward autonomous software engineering is currently bottlenecked by a severe deficit of diverse, large-scale trajectory data. We address this by introducing \ourdataset, an expansive dataset of 207,489 agentic trajectories spanning nine programming languages (Python, Go, TS, JS, Rust, Java, PHP, C, C++). Sourced from 20,000 real-world PRs via OpenHands and SWE-agent harnesses, the dataset utilizes a hybrid-reasoning synthesis: Minimax-M2.5 generates trajectories with explicit "thinking" processes, while Qwen3.5-122B provides high-quality "non-thinking" traces. Filtered for permissive licenses (MIT, Apache, BSD) from SWE-rebench-V2, this data facilitates the training of models capable of long-horizon reasoning. We validate the dataset by fine-tuning the Qwen3-30B-A3B series (Thinking, Instruct, and Coder). The best performing model achieves resolve rates of 61.7% on SWE-bench Verified, 57.1% on SWE-bench Multilingual, and 36.8% on SWE-bench Pro. These results establish Open-SWE-Traces as a premier resource for distilling human-level software engineering capabilities into efficient, open-source agentic LLMs.

We present a fast algorithm for the design of smooth paths (or trajectories) that are constrained to lie in a collection of axis-aligned boxes. We consider the case where the number of these safe boxes is large, and basic preprocessing of them (such as finding their intersections) can be done offline. At runtime we quickly generate a smooth path between given initial and terminal positions. Our algorithm designs trajectories that are guaranteed to be safe at all times, and detects infeasibility whenever such a trajectory does not exist. Our algorithm is based on two subproblems that we can solve very efficiently: finding a shortest path in a weighted graph, and solving (multiple) convex optimal-control problems. We demonstrate the proposed path planner on large-scale numerical examples, and we provide an efficient open-source software implementation, fastpathplanning.

Computer-use agents are capable of completing complex tasks, increasing the use of automatic judges to determine success, either for training or for evaluation without human involvement. Despite their flexibility, their reliability on long tasks spanning multiple applications remains unclear. A trajectory, composed of long sequences of screenshots and actions, may appear complete, but in reality violates constraints from the instruction or introduces an unwanted side effect. To identify these errors, a judge needs to examine the trajectory with respect to the user's instruction. To this end, we introduce AgentHorizon, a benchmark of 1,373 computer-use tasks (instruction-trajectory pairs) drawn from 166 hours of human-recorded trajectories spanning three operating systems. By recording trajectories for closely related instructions, we can construct negative tasks by swapping the instructions. This paired design evaluates judges on their ability to distinguish a successful trajectory from one that completed a similar (but incompatible) request. We release the benchmark under three splits: a frontier split, AgentHorizon (AH), a simplified split, AgentHorizon-Simple (AH-S), and a development split, AgentHorizon-Development (AH-D). We further evaluate eleven judges by (1) directly passing the full trajectory (with up to 300 screenshots and actions), and (2) using them as coding agents across five agent harnesses. We find that our best agentic judge, GPT-5.5, achieves 80.9% balanced accuracy on the AH subset. We find that tool-use improves certain models but results in worse performance for open-weight models, and that judges differ drastically in their ability to accept a valid trajectory and reject failed ones. Our findings highlight the need for judges that are capable of locating and verifying often hidden evidence that a task was properly completed inside long interaction histories.

Large language models are increasingly deployed as autonomous agents executing multi-step workflows in real-world software environments. However, existing agent benchmarks suffer from three critical limitations: (1) trajectory-opaque grading that checks only final outputs, (2) underspecified safety and robustness evaluation, and (3) narrow modality coverage and interaction paradigms. We introduce Claw-Eval, an end-to-end evaluation suite addressing all three gaps. It comprises 300 human-verified tasks spanning 9 categories across three groups (general service orchestration, multimodal perception and generation, and multi-turn professional dialogue). Every agent action is recorded through three independent evidence channels (execution traces, audit logs, and environment snapshots), enabling trajectory-aware grading over 2,159 fine-grained rubric items. The scoring protocol evaluates Completion, Safety, and Robustness, reporting Average Score, Pass@k, and Pass^k across three trials to distinguish genuine capability from lucky outcomes. Experiments on 14 frontier models reveal that: (1) trajectory-opaque evaluation is systematically unreliable, missing 44% of safety violations and 13% of robustness failures that our hybrid pipeline catches; (2) controlled error injection primarily degrades consistency rather than peak capability, with Pass^3 dropping up to 24% while Pass@3 remains stable; (3) multimodal performance varies sharply, with most models performing poorer on video than on document or image, and no single model dominating across all modalities. Beyond benchmarking, Claw-Eval highlights actionable directions for agent development, shedding light on what it takes to build agents that are not only capable but reliably deployable.

Training vision-language web agents with multi-step RL is compute-intensive, with two dominant forms of inefficiency: idle GPUs in synchronous RL, and trajectories that use more steps and tokens than necessary. We present AsyncWebRL, which addresses both. On the system side, an asynchronous design overlaps rollout, gradient update, and policy refresh across iterations, paired with two web-agent-specific adaptations, namely an everlasting rollout pool and lightweight screenshot handling, that together deliver up to a 2.9times end-to-end training-throughput speedup over the previously fastest open synchronous pipeline (WebGym). On the algorithmic side, we identify the per-trajectory normalizer 1/|τ_i| in multi-step GRPO as the root cause of trajectory-level and token-level inefficiency: because failures are systematically longer than successes, it down-weights the negative gradient on failed tokens, so the policy keeps producing verbose memory schemas. Replacing 1/|τ_i| with a constant 1/k breaks this coupling, contracting trajectories while preserving aggregate success. Together, these contributions set a new open-source state of the art on the WebGym out-of-distribution test split (+5.8% relative over the 42.9% prior best), with the largest gains on the harder slices (+42% relative on Medium, +48% relative on Hard).

Imitation learning for robotic manipulation relies on large sets of human demonstration trajectories, which are often noisy and temporally irregular due to variable operator speed, intermittent pauses, and inconsistent action density. A common preprocessing strategy is time-uniform downsampling to shorten sequences, but it cannot effectively remove speed-induced non-uniformity or redundant pauses. This mismatch degrades data quality and hinders policy learning. To address this issue, we propose Information-Standardized Trajectory Resampling (ISR), an offline preprocessing method for effective imitation learning. ISR resamples each trajectory by enforcing approximately equal information distance between adjacent points. Specifically, we map trajectories onto an information-modulated Riemannian manifold and perform geodesic-equidistant parameterization. We construct an information-intensity field from velocity and acceleration norms: the velocity term removes small-motion redundancy, while the acceleration term preserves high-curvature and fine-manipulation phases. We evaluate ISR on three real-world manipulation tasks with mainstream imitation learning policies. Compared with the baseline time-uniform 3x downsampling, ISR improves task success rates by about 25%, remains robust across datasets collected from different operators, and reduces both dataset size and training cost. The code and videos are publicly available at https://d-robotics-ai-lab.github.io/isr.page.

Vision-Language Navigation (VLN) requires agents to continuously ground task progress from long-horizon instructions and partial egocentric observations. Existing VLM-based navigation agents typically reason only over available observations and may remain confident even when task-relevant evidence is missing. For example, an agent may confidently proceed forward and get lost even though the landmark indicating the next turn lies outside its current field of view. We term this failure mode Progress Myopia: the agent fails to recognize unreliable progress grounding and continues acting on insufficient evidence. To address it, we propose SeekVLN, an evidence-seeking framework that couples semantic progress reasoning with active acquisition of task-relevant observations. SeekVLN is trained in two stages: First, Future-guided Reverse Generation (FRG) uses future expert actions to augment offline expert trajectories with supplementary views and evidence annotations. Supervised fine-tuning on these trajectories establishes a prior for evidence seeking and progress reasoning without additional expert interaction. However, imitation alone does not reveal whether seeking improves subsequent navigation. We therefore introduce Counterfactual Contrastive Policy Optimization (C2PO) for reinforcement fine-tuning. By comparing each evidence-seeking branch with a counterfactual direct-navigation branch from the same state, C2PO uses a contrastive reward to assign credit to seeking decisions based on subsequent navigation benefit. Experiments on simulated benchmarks show that SeekVLN achieves state-of-the-art performance, improving success rate by 12.7% and 7.5% over the base model on R2R-CE and RxR-CE, respectively. Both simulated and real-world evaluations exhibit human-like evidence-seeking behaviors for more reliable progress grounding.

Generative world models provide rich predictions of how manipulation scenes may evolve toward task objectives, yet those futures do not directly expose the compact task variables required by control. When training supervises future prediction alone, terminal goal accuracy is not an explicit learning objective, even when geometric recovery is available. We present Entity-Level Goal Readout, a learned prediction-to-execution interface that makes the executable terminal goal an explicit output of a 3D trace world model. It combines object-centric pose prediction with translation grounded in observed depth to produce a compact goal in SE(3). A shared Pose-Native Executor consumes this fixed goal with online object-pose feedback for closed-loop control without rerunning the world model. Across five manipulation tasks, the pipeline achieves a mean success rate of 79.69%. Goal diagnostics directly measure terminal goal accuracy, while controlled translation perturbations characterize how execution degrades under goal error. Zero-shot deployment on a Franka arm achieves 73.33% success on nominal StackCube, 66.67% with distractors, and 75.00% on PickPlate with a target unseen during policy training. These results support treating the prediction-to-execution interface as an explicit learned component of world-model planning rather than incidental post-processing in the control pipeline itself. Project page: https://claire0730.github.io/executable-goals/

Training capable cyber agents is often treated primarily as a problem of model scale, yet open-weight post-training is constrained more directly by the cost of executable environments, reliable multi-turn supervision, and access to strong teachers. We present a data-centric framework that addresses these bottlenecks through five complementary systems: Choulea analyzes hidden reasoning signatures, SkyReal reduces teacher-sampling cost, Hongzwang bypasses API restrictions on teacher execution, PSBreakup restores capabilities weakened by model merging, and Kreator converts expert interventions into trainable reasoning. Our data engine constructs resettable coding, vulnerability, CTF, kernel-history, full-exploit, firmware, and device-backed environments. Candidate trajectories are retained only after execution verification and evidence auditing, yielding 164,269 trajectories for long-context supervised fine-tuning. The three checkpoints improve over their starting models by an average of 23.76% on the full CyberGym suite and 10.49% across the pooled CTF suites. As of September 1, 2026, Feyospace-s1 achieves a verified success rate of 63.24% and ranks 10th on the official CyberGym leaderboard, while all three checkpoints rank 1st among models at comparable parameter scales. To our knowledge, this is the first end-to-end demonstration that a seven-person independent team can train open-weight models with leading agentic cyber capability.

While on-policy distillation (OPD) effectively addresses sparse rewards and exposure bias in large language model post-training, its extension to flow models remains underexplored. To this end, we propose Flow Continuous Trajectory Supervision (FlowCTS), which matches subsequent student and reference trajectories initialized from the same student-visited state. Using the integral relation between trajectories and velocity fields, we derive a temporally weighted velocity-matching upper bound and discretize it into practical objectives parameterized by the number of supervision steps. Under a multi-reference setup, single-state FlowCTS-OPD outperforms vanilla KL-based OPD with faster convergence. FlowCTS-OPD improves GenEval from 0.90 to 0.93, OCR from 0.90 to 0.92, and PickScore from 22.75 to 23.06, while outperforming a mixed-reward RL baseline across all target metrics. Further analysis reveals a clear temporal supervision mismatch in vanilla KL-based OPD arising from its auxiliary SDE transition kernels. Beyond on-policy setting,FlowCTS also consistently outperforms vanilla SFT , particularly on OCR, while increasing supervision steps exhibit a trade-off between richer trajectory information and greater optimization difficulty.

Leaderboards rank frontier models on independent axes but do not reveal whether capabilities reinforce or trade off across releases -- and at the frontier, this interaction is the more informative signal. We decompose paired SWE-bench and GPQA Diamond scores into a population coupling trend and per-release residual (h-field) that diagnoses capability emphasis and identifies which measurement or stress test is most informative next. Across 34 models from 10 labs (2024--2026), capabilities cooperate (r = +0.72, p < 10^{-6}), but cooperation varies by lab and over time: DeepSeek reversed from reasoning-rich to coding-first (h: +11.2 to -4.7, 15.9-pp swing); Google maintains consistent reasoning emphasis; Anthropic oscillates between coding excursions and recovery. Cooperation is not static -- it cascades. Six open-weight architectures confirm a second capability transition at 30--72B, and SWE-bench is now saturating while HLE and instruction-following retain discriminatory spread -- signaling the next axis rotation. We provide a three-level playbook (locate, diagnose, rotate), a per-lab measurement-priority table, and seven falsifiable predictions with timestamped criteria for the next 12 months of frontier releases. Per-lab coupling slopes vary 5times (Google 1.15 vs. DeepSeek 0.23), quantifying how efficiently each recipe converts coding gains into reasoning. Five April 2026 releases confirm the diagnostic out of sample (r rises from +0.72 to +0.75). An interactive dashboard provides phase classification with actionable recommendations, h-field diagnostics, per-lab coupling trajectories, ODE-based scaling predictions, benchmark rotation guidance, self-steering demo, and live tracking of all seven predictions: https://zehenlabs.com/cape/.

Recent advances in multimodal web agents often rely on increased inference-time computation, including rollout search, verifier passes, offline skill discovery, and specialist model stacks. This raises a central question: can a web agent become more efficient as it accumulates experience, rather than more expensive? We first analyze trajectories from VisualWebArena and identify three recurring sources of inefficiency: repeat-action loops, hidden discovery costs, and low prompt-cache reuse. We then introduce PANDO, a single-rollout online skill-distillation framework that maintains a structured Skill Library and combines progress reflection, confidence-based skill demotion, hierarchical routing, visual compression, and cache-aware prompting. On the full set of 910 VisualWebArena tasks, PANDO achieves a 58.3% success rate, outperforming SGV (54.0%) and our WALT reproduction (45.2%), while using 58% fewer tokens than SGV and 61% fewer tokens than WALT, without any pre-evaluation discovery budget. A 300-task ablation further shows that rules and routines provide most of the success gains, while routing, compression, and cache-aware prompting convert the larger skill library into lower marginal token cost. Finally, we introduce three trajectory-level efficiency metrics -- Action Repetition Rate, Step Overhead Ratio, and Prompt Cache Utilization -- to make efficiency visible beyond terminal success.

Reasoning about human motion is an important prerequisite to safe and socially-aware robotic navigation. As a result, multi-agent behavior prediction has become a core component of modern human-robot interactive systems, such as self-driving cars. While there exist many methods for trajectory forecasting, most do not enforce dynamic constraints and do not account for environmental information (e.g., maps). Towards this end, we present Trajectron++, a modular, graph-structured recurrent model that forecasts the trajectories of a general number of diverse agents while incorporating agent dynamics and heterogeneous data (e.g., semantic maps). Trajectron++ is designed to be tightly integrated with robotic planning and control frameworks; for example, it can produce predictions that are optionally conditioned on ego-agent motion plans. We demonstrate its performance on several challenging real-world trajectory forecasting datasets, outperforming a wide array of state-of-the-art deterministic and generative methods.

Natural agents can effectively learn from multiple data sources that differ in size, quality, and types of measurements. We study this heterogeneity in the context of offline reinforcement learning (RL) by introducing a new, practically motivated semi-supervised setting. Here, an agent has access to two sets of trajectories: labelled trajectories containing state, action and reward triplets at every timestep, along with unlabelled trajectories that contain only state and reward information. For this setting, we develop and study a simple meta-algorithmic pipeline that learns an inverse dynamics model on the labelled data to obtain proxy-labels for the unlabelled data, followed by the use of any offline RL algorithm on the true and proxy-labelled trajectories. Empirically, we find this simple pipeline to be highly successful -- on several D4RL benchmarks~fu2020d4rl, certain offline RL algorithms can match the performance of variants trained on a fully labelled dataset even when we label only 10\% of trajectories which are highly suboptimal. To strengthen our understanding, we perform a large-scale controlled empirical study investigating the interplay of data-centric properties of the labelled and unlabelled datasets, with algorithmic design choices (e.g., choice of inverse dynamics, offline RL algorithm) to identify general trends and best practices for training RL agents on semi-supervised offline datasets.

Current robotic evaluation is still largely dominated by binary success rates, which collapse rich execution processes into a single outcome and obscure critical qualities such as progress, efficiency, and stability. To address this limitation, we propose PRM-as-a-Judge, a dense evaluation paradigm that leverages Process Reward Models (PRMs) to audit policy execution directly from trajectory videos by estimating task progress from observation sequences. Central to this paradigm is the OPD (Outcome-Process-Diagnosis) metric system, which explicitly formalizes execution quality via a task-aligned progress potential. We characterize dense robotic evaluation through two axiomatic properties: macro-consistency, which requires additive and path-consistent aggregation, and micro-resolution, which requires sensitivity to fine-grained physical evolution. Under this formulation, potential-based PRM judges provide a natural instantiation of dense evaluation, with macro-consistency following directly from the induced scalar potential. We empirically validate the micro-resolution property using RoboPulse, a diagnostic benchmark specifically designed for probing micro-scale progress discrimination, where several trajectory-trained PRM judges outperform discriminative similarity-based methods and general-purpose foundation-model judges. Finally, leveraging PRM-as-a-Judge and the OPD metric system, we conduct a structured audit of mainstream policy paradigms across long-horizon tasks, revealing behavioral signatures and failure modes that are invisible to outcome-only metrics.

Large Language Model (LLM) agents commonly condition actions on full action-observation histories, which introduce task-irrelevant information that easily leads to redundant actions and higher inference cost. We propose Progress-Aware Belief Update (PABU), a belief-state framework that compactly represents an agent's state by explicitly modeling task progress and selectively retaining past actions and observations. At each step, the agent predicts its relative progress since the previous round and decides whether the newly encountered interaction should be stored, conditioning future decisions only on the retained subset. Across eight environments in the AgentGym benchmark, and using identical training trajectories, PABU achieves an 81.0% task completion rate, outperforming previous State of the art (SoTA) models with full-history belief by 23.9%. Additionally, PABU's progress-oriented action selection improves efficiency, reducing the average number of interaction steps to 9.5, corresponding to a 26.9% reduction. Ablation studies show that both explicit progress prediction and selective retention are necessary for robust belief learning and performance gains.

On-policy distillation (OPD) applies token-level teacher supervision to student-generated trajectories, but this supervision is not always reliable. Existing methods use local confidence or teacher-student agreement to weight, filter, or truncate the sampled trajectory. These signals do not directly determine whether the teacher can continue a student prefix to a correct answer, and trajectory-level interventions can conflate one rollout's unreliability with low expected training value of its prompt. We define prompt-level teacher continuation reliability R as the teacher's probability of reaching a correct answer from a student prefix, averaged over prefixes and trajectories induced by the current student. Oracle experiments show that high-R prompts yield larger OPD gains and that descending-R training outperforms random and ascending orders on a fixed prompt pool. Because estimating R requires many teacher continuations, we use the maximum ROUGE-5 F1 between one independent student rollout and verifier-correct same-prompt teacher trajectories. Across ten equal-frequency bins of this actual score, mean R rises monotonically, showing that the proxy separates coarse reliability levels. ReOrder-OPD sorts prompts by the proxy, then draws independent on-policy training trajectories for vanilla OPD. It improves every matched aggregate comparison across Qwen3 and Gemma4 mathematics settings and Qwen3 code settings. Gains in all six FiRe-OPD and ExOPD settings show that prompt ordering complements within-trajectory supervision.

Robot demonstration collection often produces imperfect or failed trajectories in addition to successful demonstrations. Existing methods typically exploit failed trajectories by identifying segments that still make progress toward task completion, but largely overlook failure-critical behaviors that directly lead to task failure. Here we argue that these two types of segments provide fundamentally asymmetric supervision: progressive segments should be imitated, whereas failure-critical segments should be explicitly avoided. Based on this observation, we propose CARF, a Contrastive Attraction-Repulsion of Failure-guided framework for learning from imperfect robot data. CARF introduces a progress-based importance scorer, trained solely on successful expert demonstrations and its perturbation results, to estimate step-wise contributions toward task completion and identify informative regions in failed trajectories. These scores guide a unified flow-matching objective that attracts the policy toward progressive behaviors and repels it from failure-critical ones, while excluding ambiguous segments. This enables more comprehensive utilization of imperfect data and avoids unreliable supervision from ambiguous failure segments. Extensive experiments in simulation and the real world demonstrate consistent improvements over competing baselines across diverse failure scenarios, with ablations further validating the effectiveness of the proposed scoring and attraction-repulsion mechanisms. Our website is https://zhao-sq.github.io/carf/#.

Accurate long-horizon vessel trajectory prediction remains challenging due to compounded uncertainty from complex navigation behaviors and environmental factors. Existing methods often struggle to maintain global directional consistency, leading to drifting or implausible trajectories when extrapolated over long time horizons. To address this issue, we propose a semantic-key-point-conditioned trajectory modeling framework, in which future trajectories are predicted by conditioning on a high-level Next Key Point (NKP) that captures navigational intent. This formulation decomposes long-horizon prediction into global semantic decision-making and local motion modeling, effectively restricting the support of future trajectories to semantically feasible subsets. To efficiently estimate the NKP prior from historical observations, we adopt a pretrain-finetune strategy. Extensive experiments on real-world AIS data demonstrate that the proposed method consistently outperforms state-of-the-art approaches, particularly for long travel durations, directional accuracy, and fine-grained trajectory prediction.

Computer-use agents provide a promising path toward general software automation because they can interact directly with arbitrary graphical user interfaces instead of relying on brittle, application-specific integrations. Despite recent advances in benchmark performance, strong computer-use agents remain expensive and slow in practice, since most systems invoke large multimodal models at nearly every interaction step. We argue that this uniform allocation of compute is fundamentally inefficient for long-horizon GUI tasks. Such trajectories are highly heterogeneous: many steps are routine and can be handled reliably by smaller, cheaper policies, while errors tend to concentrate at a relatively small number of high-risk moments. Across computer-use benchmarks, these failures repeatedly take two forms: progress stalls, where the agent loops, repeats ineffective actions, or fails to make meaningful progress, and silent semantic drift, where the agent continues taking locally plausible actions after already deviating from the user's true goal. To address this inefficiency, we propose an event-driven, step-level cascade for computer-use agents that runs a small policy by default and escalates to a stronger model only when lightweight learned monitors detect elevated risk. Our framework combines two complementary signals: a Stuck Monitor that detects degraded progress from recent reasoning-action history and triggers recovery, and a Milestone Monitor that identifies semantically meaningful checkpoints where sparse verification is most informative for catching drift. This design turns always-on frontier-model inference into adaptive, on-demand compute allocation over the course of an evolving interaction. The framework is modular and deployment-oriented: it can be layered on top of existing computer-use agents without changing the underlying agent architecture or retraining the large model.

Successful tool-use trajectories are not necessarily useful supervision. Even successful interactions may underrepresent multi-step dependencies or contain actions that are unjustified by the information visible to the agent at decision time. We identify two coupled requirements for effective trajectory supervision: compositional coverage, so that important observation-action dependencies are represented, and decision grounding, so that each supervised action is supported by the learner-visible interaction history. We introduce Trajectory2Gym, which constructs executable interactions around under-supported compositional structures and derives supervision only from grounded decisions in their realized executions. Structural-support selection allocates the resulting experience, while parent-normalized supervised fine-tuning preserves the semantic interaction as the unit of training weight. This reframes trajectory generation as the deliberate construction of learnable interaction experience, rather than the collection of successful trajectories. Across five Qwen3 scales, Trajectory2Gym improves Tau1, Tau2, and BFCL at every tested scale, increasing the equal-weight three-benchmark mean by 16.9-29.8 percentage points. The gains are strongest in stateful and multi-turn interaction, where later decisions depend on earlier observations and feedback. Our results suggest that scaling tool-use agents depends not only on collecting more successful trajectories, but on constructing interactions whose dependencies are represented and whose decisions are learnable from the agent's visible history.

Vision-language-action (VLA) models route driving decisions through a deep language model, but it is unclear how much of that depth the action itself requires. We study a representative driving VLA whose entire plan is carried by a single planning token that a generative planner decodes into a trajectory. Borrowing the planner as a trajectory-space logit lens, we decode the planning token from every one of the 32 decoder layers and measure two signals: the linear decodability of the navigation command and trajectory compatibility with the frozen native planner. Our diagnostic shows that semantic intent is linearly decodable early: command-probe accuracy reaches 97.7\% after the first decoder layer, compared with 16.7\% chance. In contrast, compatibility with the frozen native planner improves gradually across depth, with open-loop Avg-L2 reaching its minimum of 2.11\,m only at the final layer. Learned readouts from the first layer recover much of this gap, indicating that planning information is already present early but is not yet represented in the format expected by the deployed planner. Ranking decoder layers by the angular deviation they induce in the planning token permits removal of 8 of 32 layers within an approximately 5\% relative open-loop error increase and yields a measured 1.33times decoder speedup. At the evaluated sample size, no family-specific degradation is statistically resolved. These findings are limited to the evaluated ORION checkpoint and Bench2Drive setup.